The Prediction Markets

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in November 2026?

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$23K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 h ago
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What the markets expect

620 77.5%

Next is 600 at 62.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
620
77.5%
Polymarket 77.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 85¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Polymarket
Contract
620
Last price
77.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Polymarket
600
62.5%
Polymarket 62.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Polymarket
Contract
600
Last price
62.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
660
62%
Polymarket 62%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
660
Last price
62%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Polymarket
680
42.5%
Polymarket 42.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
680
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$590
Trade this on Polymarket
580
41.5%
Polymarket 41.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
580
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
700
27.5%
Polymarket 27.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
700
Last price
27.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$625
Trade this on Polymarket
560
24.5%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
560
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
720
17.5%
Polymarket 17.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
720
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
540
13.5%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
540
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
740
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
740
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$991
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 4 more outcomes
760
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
760
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$395
Trade this on Polymarket
520
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
520
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
780
7.1%
Polymarket 7.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
780
Last price
7.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
4.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$87
Trade this on Polymarket
500
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
500
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$387
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 620
  • 600
  • 660

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in November 2026?". 620 leads at 77.5%. Next is 600 at 62.5%. $23K has traded across 14 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in November 2026?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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