The Prediction Markets

What will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit in November 2026?

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$17K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 h ago
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What the markets expect

780 82%

Next is 840 at 76%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
780
82%
Polymarket 82%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 84¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Polymarket
Contract
780
Last price
82%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
840
76%
Polymarket 76%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
840
Last price
76%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Trade this on Polymarket
720
47%
Polymarket 47%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
720
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$230
Trade this on Polymarket
900
45%
Polymarket 45%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
900
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$211
Trade this on Polymarket
960
25.5%
Polymarket 25.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
960
Last price
25.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$642
Trade this on Polymarket
660
23%
Polymarket 23%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
660
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
1,020
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,020
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$137
Trade this on Polymarket
600
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
600
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$151
Trade this on Polymarket
1,260
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 14.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $671 (6.71x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,260
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
14.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$671 (6.71x)
Volume
$44
Trade this on Polymarket
1,080
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,080
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 4 more outcomes
540
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $990 (9.90x)
Polymarket
Contract
540
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
10.1¢
Sell Yes
2.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$990 (9.90x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
1,140
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,140
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
480
3.9%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
480
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$41
Trade this on Polymarket
1,200
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,200
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 780
  • 840
  • 720

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit in November 2026?". 780 leads at 82%. Next is 840 at 76%. $17K has traded across 14 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

What will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit in November 2026?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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