The Prediction Markets

What will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit Week of October 19 2026?

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$21K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

67.50 64%

Next is 70 at 46%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
67.50
64%
Polymarket 64%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
Contract
67.50
Last price
64%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$344
Trade this on Polymarket
70
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
70
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Polymarket
52.50
40.8%
Polymarket 40.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 81.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
52.50
Last price
40.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
81.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Trade this on Polymarket
60
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $324 (3.24x)
Polymarket
Contract
60
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
30.9¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$324 (3.24x)
Volume
$585
Trade this on Polymarket
65
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
65
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Trade this on Polymarket
57.50
9%
Polymarket 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
57.50
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$415
Trade this on Polymarket
55
7.4%
Polymarket 7.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $685 (6.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
55
Last price
7.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14.6¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$685 (6.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
75
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
75
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,282 (12.8x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
72.50
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
72.50
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
62.50
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
62.50
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 5 more outcomes
82.50
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
82.50
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.6¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,786 (17.9x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
87.50
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
87.50
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$205
Trade this on Polymarket
80
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
80
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Volume
$302
Trade this on Polymarket
85
1.8%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
85
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,857 (28.6x)
Volume
$82
Trade this on Polymarket
77.50
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
77.50
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$340
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 67.50
  • 70
  • 52.50

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit Week of October 19 2026?". 67.50 leads at 64%. Next is 70 at 46%. $21K has traded across 15 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.

What will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit Week of October 19 2026?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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