The Prediction Markets

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in November 2026?

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$19K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
2 h ago
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What the markets expect

200 87%

Next is 208 at 82%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
200
87%
Polymarket 87%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
Contract
200
Last price
87%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$620
Trade this on Polymarket
208
82%
Polymarket 82%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
208
Last price
82%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Trade this on Polymarket
192
61%
Polymarket 61%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
192
Last price
61%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
216
59.5%
Polymarket 59.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Polymarket
Contract
216
Last price
59.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
57¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$311
Trade this on Polymarket
184
42%
Polymarket 42%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
184
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$832
Trade this on Polymarket
224
40.5%
Polymarket 40.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
224
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$993
Trade this on Polymarket
232
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
232
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$260
Trade this on Polymarket
176
26%
Polymarket 26%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
176
Last price
26%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
21.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$827
Trade this on Polymarket
240
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
240
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
168
12.2%
Polymarket 12.2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 13.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $758 (7.58x)
Polymarket
Contract
168
Last price
12.2%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
13.2¢
Sell Yes
11.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$758 (7.58x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 4 more outcomes
248
10%
Polymarket 10%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
248
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$243
Trade this on Polymarket
160
7.9%
Polymarket 7.9%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
160
Last price
7.9%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
5.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$460
Trade this on Polymarket
256
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
256
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
4.7¢
Sell Yes
3.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,128 (21.3x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
264
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
264
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Volume
$422
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 200
  • 208
  • 192

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in November 2026?". 200 leads at 87%. Next is 208 at 82%. $19K has traded across 14 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in November 2026?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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