The Prediction Markets

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of October 19 2026?

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$20K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

216 51.5%

Next is 244 at 48.9%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
216
51.5%
Polymarket 51.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Polymarket
Contract
216
Last price
51.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Trade this on Polymarket
244
48.9%
Polymarket 48.9%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 97.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
244
Last price
48.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
208
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
208
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$806
Trade this on Polymarket
220
17.5%
Polymarket 17.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
220
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Trade this on Polymarket
204
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
204
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$418
Trade this on Polymarket
192
10%
Polymarket 10%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
192
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
224
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
224
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
240
6.8%
Polymarket 6.8%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 13.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $741 (7.41x)
Polymarket
Contract
240
Last price
6.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$741 (7.41x)
Volume
$70
Trade this on Polymarket
232
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
232
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
200
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
200
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$390
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 4 more outcomes
228
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
228
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$842
Trade this on Polymarket
196
5.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 10.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $990 (9.90x)
Polymarket
Contract
196
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$990 (9.90x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
236
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 7.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
236
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.1¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,408 (14.1x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
188
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
188
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$25
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 216
  • 244
  • 208

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of October 19 2026?". 216 leads at 51.5%. Next is 244 at 48.9%. $20K has traded across 14 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of October 19 2026?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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