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What the markets expect
192 61%
Next is 180 at 39.3%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
19261%61%57¢ bid, 65¢ askpolled, 50s ago65¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $154 (1.54x)19261%Polymarket 61%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 65¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
192
61%
61%
57¢ bid, 65¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
65¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $154 (1.54x)
192
61%
Polymarket 61%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 65¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 192
- Last price
- 61%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 65¢
- Sell Yes
- 57¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $154 (1.54x)
- Volume
- $283
18039.3%39.3%1.3¢ bid, 77.3¢ askpolled, 50s ago77.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $129 (1.29x)18039.3%Polymarket 39.3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 77.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $129 (1.29x)
180
39.3%
39.3%
1.3¢ bid, 77.3¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
77.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $129 (1.29x)
180
39.3%
Polymarket 39.3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 77.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $129 (1.29x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 180
- Last price
- 39.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 77.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $129 (1.29x)
- Volume
- $189
20136.5%36.5%30¢ bid, 43¢ askpolled, 50s ago43¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $233 (2.33x)20136.5%Polymarket 36.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
201
36.5%
36.5%
30¢ bid, 43¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
43¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $233 (2.33x)
201
36.5%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 201
- Last price
- 36.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
18929.5%29.5%25¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 50s ago34¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $294 (2.94x)18929.5%Polymarket 29.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
189
29.5%
29.5%
25¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
34¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
189
29.5%
Polymarket 29.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 189
- Last price
- 29.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $743
17718.1%18.1%0.3¢ bid, 35.8¢ askpolled, 50s ago35.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $279 (2.79x)17718.1%Polymarket 18.1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 35.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $279 (2.79x)
177
18.1%
18.1%
0.3¢ bid, 35.8¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
35.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $279 (2.79x)
177
18.1%
Polymarket 18.1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 35.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $279 (2.79x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 177
- Last price
- 18.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 35.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $279 (2.79x)
- Volume
- $502
20417.5%17.5%15¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 50s ago20¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $500 (5.00x)20417.5%Polymarket 17.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
204
17.5%
17.5%
15¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
20¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
204
17.5%
Polymarket 17.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 204
- Last price
- 17.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
- Volume
- $626
18616.5%16.5%11¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 50s ago22¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $455 (4.55x)18616.5%Polymarket 16.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
186
16.5%
16.5%
11¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
22¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
186
16.5%
Polymarket 16.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 186
- Last price
- 16.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $1K
2078.5%8.5%7¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 50s ago10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)2078.5%Polymarket 8.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
207
8.5%
8.5%
7¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
207
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 207
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $340
1716.6%6.6%1¢ bid, 12.2¢ askpolled, 50s ago12.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $820 (8.20x)1716.6%Polymarket 6.6%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 12.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $820 (8.20x)
171
6.6%
6.6%
1¢ bid, 12.2¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
12.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $820 (8.20x)
171
6.6%
Polymarket 6.6%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 12.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $820 (8.20x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 171
- Last price
- 6.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $820 (8.20x)
- Volume
- $782
1836.5%6.5%3¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 50s ago10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)1836.5%Polymarket 6.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
183
6.5%
6.5%
3¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
183
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 183
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $594
Show 6 more outcomesHide 6 outcomes
1746.4%6.4%1¢ bid, 11.7¢ askpolled, 50s ago11.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $855 (8.55x)1746.4%Polymarket 6.4%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 11.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $855 (8.55x)
174
6.4%
6.4%
1¢ bid, 11.7¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
11.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $855 (8.55x)
174
6.4%
Polymarket 6.4%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 11.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $855 (8.55x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 174
- Last price
- 6.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $855 (8.55x)
- Volume
- $124
2136.3%6.3%0.1¢ bid, 12.4¢ askpolled, 50s ago12.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $806 (8.06x)2136.3%Polymarket 6.3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 12.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $806 (8.06x)
213
6.3%
6.3%
0.1¢ bid, 12.4¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
12.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $806 (8.06x)
213
6.3%
Polymarket 6.3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 12.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $806 (8.06x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 213
- Last price
- 6.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $806 (8.06x)
- Volume
- $10
1655.6%5.6%1¢ bid, 10.1¢ askpolled, 50s ago10.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $990 (9.90x)1655.6%Polymarket 5.6%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 10.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $990 (9.90x)
165
5.6%
5.6%
1¢ bid, 10.1¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
10.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $990 (9.90x)
165
5.6%
Polymarket 5.6%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 10.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $990 (9.90x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 165
- Last price
- 5.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $990 (9.90x)
- Volume
- $217
1684.7%4.7%0.2¢ bid, 9.1¢ askpolled, 50s ago9.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,099 (11.0x)1684.7%Polymarket 4.7%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 9.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,099 (11.0x)
168
4.7%
4.7%
0.2¢ bid, 9.1¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
9.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,099 (11.0x)
168
4.7%
Polymarket 4.7%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 9.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,099 (11.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 168
- Last price
- 4.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,099 (11.0x)
- Volume
- $364
2104%4%1¢ bid, 6.9¢ askpolled, 50s ago6.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)2104%Polymarket 4%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
210
4%
4%
1¢ bid, 6.9¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
6.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
210
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 210
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,449 (14.5x)
- Volume
- $1K
2161.1%1.1%1¢ bid, 1.1¢ askpolled, 50s ago1.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)2161.1%Polymarket 1.1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
216
1.1%
1.1%
1¢ bid, 1.1¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
1.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
216
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 216
- Last price
- 1.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $9,091 (90.9x)
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 192
- 180
- 201
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "What will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit Week of October 19 2026?". 192 leads at 61%. Next is 180 at 39.3%. $11K has traded across 16 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.
What will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit Week of October 19 2026?
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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