The Prediction Markets

What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit in November 2026?

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$10K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 h ago
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What the markets expect

90 86.5%

Next is 85 at 85%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
90
86.5%
Polymarket 86.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
Contract
90
Last price
86.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
85
85%
Polymarket 85%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
85
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
95
60.5%
Polymarket 60.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Polymarket
Contract
95
Last price
60.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
80
54.5%
Polymarket 54.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Polymarket
Contract
80
Last price
54.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Volume
$420
Trade this on Polymarket
100
39%
Polymarket 39%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
100
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Trade this on Polymarket
75
36%
Polymarket 36%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
75
Last price
36%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
105
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
105
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
70
19.5%
Polymarket 19.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
70
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$693
Trade this on Polymarket
110
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
110
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
115
9%
Polymarket 9%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
115
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$280
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 5 more outcomes
65
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
65
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$658
Trade this on Polymarket
120
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
120
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
125
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
125
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Polymarket
60
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
60
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$336
Trade this on Polymarket
55
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
55
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$79
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 90
  • 85
  • 95

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit in November 2026?". 90 leads at 86.5%. Next is 85 at 85%. $10K has traded across 15 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit in November 2026?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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