The Prediction Markets

What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit Week of October 19 2026?

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$16K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

95 50%

Next is 100 at 42.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
95
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 53.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $186 (1.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
95
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
53.9¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$186 (1.86x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
100
42.5%
Polymarket 42.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
100
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
92.50
20.5%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
92.50
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
102.50
16.5%
Polymarket 16.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
102.50
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Trade this on Polymarket
87.50
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 23.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $422 (4.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
87.50
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
23.7¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$422 (4.22x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
82.50
7.9%
Polymarket 7.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $676 (6.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
82.50
Last price
7.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14.8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$676 (6.76x)
Volume
$30
Trade this on Polymarket
90
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
90
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$670
Trade this on Polymarket
105
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
105
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
115
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $781 (7.81x)
Polymarket
Contract
115
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$781 (7.81x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
112.50
6.3%
Polymarket 6.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $820 (8.20x)
Polymarket
Contract
112.50
Last price
6.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12.2¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$820 (8.20x)
Volume
$369
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 3 more outcomes
85
5.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
85
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$435
Trade this on Polymarket
110
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,190 (11.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
110
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8.4¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,190 (11.9x)
Volume
$121
Trade this on Polymarket
107.50
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
107.50
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$450
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 95
  • 100
  • 92.50

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit Week of October 19 2026?". 95 leads at 50%. Next is 100 at 42.5%. $16K has traded across 13 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.

What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit Week of October 19 2026?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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