The Prediction Markets

What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in November 2026?

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$8K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 h ago
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What the markets expect

52 100%

Next is 48 at 71.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
52
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 1 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
52
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Trade this on Polymarket
48
71.5%
Polymarket 71.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
48
Last price
71.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
56
70%
Polymarket 70%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
Contract
56
Last price
70%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
60
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
60
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$332
Trade this on Polymarket
44
46.5%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
44
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
64
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
64
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
40
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
40
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$28
Trade this on Polymarket
68
20.5%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
68
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$430
Trade this on Polymarket
72
16.5%
Polymarket 16.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
72
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Polymarket
36
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
36
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 5 more outcomes
76
12%
Polymarket 12%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
76
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
28
9%
Polymarket 9%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 14.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $671 (6.71x)
Polymarket
Contract
28
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
14.9¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$671 (6.71x)
Trade this on Polymarket
80
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
80
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$67
Trade this on Polymarket
32
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
32
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$139
Trade this on Polymarket
84
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
84
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 52
  • 48
  • 56

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in November 2026?". 52 leads at 100%. Next is 48 at 71.5%. $8K has traded across 15 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in November 2026?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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