The Prediction Markets

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in November 2026?

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$63K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 h ago
Share

Cite these odds

Free to quote with credit. Prices move, so keep the time.

Citation

Link to the live page
Image1200 × 675 card with the time printed on itDownload PNG

How to describe the numbers, and the reuse terms, are on the press page.

Embed this on your site

Free to use with the credit link. Prices refresh every minute.

Widget
Theme
Size

The script resizes the frame to fit; the iframe works without it.

Newsletters can’t run the live widget, so this is a picture of it with the time printed on it, linking to the live page.

What the markets expect

54 72.8%

Next is 52 at 68.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
54
72.8%
Polymarket 72.8%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 76¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Polymarket
Contract
54
Last price
72.8%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
69.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
52
68.5%
Polymarket 68.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
52
Last price
68.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
50
62%
Polymarket 62%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 77¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Polymarket
Contract
50
Last price
62%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Trade this on Polymarket
56
46.5%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
56
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
48
41%
Polymarket 41%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
48
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
58
29.5%
Polymarket 29.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
58
Last price
29.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
46
25%
Polymarket 25%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
46
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
60
19.5%
Polymarket 19.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
60
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
62
10.9%
Polymarket 10.9%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 13.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $746 (7.46x)
Polymarket
Contract
62
Last price
10.9%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
13.4¢
Sell Yes
8.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$746 (7.46x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
44
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
44
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 5 more outcomes
42
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
42
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
40
4.8%
Polymarket 4.8%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
40
Last price
4.8%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
2.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
64
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
64
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
5.2¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,923 (19.2x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Polymarket
66
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
66
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
3.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
38
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
38
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$287
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 54
  • 52
  • 50

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in November 2026?". 54 leads at 72.8%. Next is 52 at 68.5%. $63K has traded across 15 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in November 2026?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More economics markets

See all economics markets