The Prediction Markets

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit Week of October 19 2026?

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$26K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

54 69.5%

Next is 58 at 48.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
54
69.5%
Polymarket 69.5%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 72.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
Contract
54
Last price
69.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72.9¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
58
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
58
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Polymarket
56
32%
Polymarket 32%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
56
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Trade this on Polymarket
53
26.6%
Polymarket 26.6%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 29.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $334 (3.34x)
Polymarket
Contract
53
Last price
26.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29.9¢
Sell Yes
23.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$334 (3.34x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
57
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
57
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Polymarket
52
7.6%
Polymarket 7.6%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
52
Last price
7.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
5.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
51
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
51
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$310
Trade this on Polymarket
49
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
49
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
50
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
50
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$667
Trade this on Polymarket
63
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
63
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 4 more outcomes
60
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
60
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
62
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
62
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$271
Trade this on Polymarket
61
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
61
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$796
Trade this on Polymarket
59
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
59
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 54
  • 58
  • 56

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit Week of October 19 2026?". 54 leads at 69.5%. Next is 58 at 48.5%. $26K has traded across 14 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit Week of October 19 2026?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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