The Prediction Markets

What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in November 2026?

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$6K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 h ago
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What the markets expect

152 89%

Next is 150 at 86%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
152
89%
Polymarket 89%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
152
Last price
89%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
150
86%
Polymarket 86%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
150
Last price
86%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
156
84%
Polymarket 84%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
156
Last price
84%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
148
78.7%
Polymarket 78.7%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 82.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $121 (1.21x)
Polymarket
Contract
148
Last price
78.7%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
82.9¢
Sell Yes
74.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$121 (1.21x)
Volume
$580
Trade this on Polymarket
158
76%
Polymarket 76%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 82¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
158
Last price
76%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
160
71%
Polymarket 71%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
Contract
160
Last price
71%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$140
Trade this on Polymarket
146
69.5%
Polymarket 69.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
Contract
146
Last price
69.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$565
Trade this on Polymarket
144
64%
Polymarket 64%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
Contract
144
Last price
64%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$545
Trade this on Polymarket
162
61%
Polymarket 61%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
Contract
162
Last price
61%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
164
57%
Polymarket 57%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
164
Last price
57%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$155
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 7 more outcomes
142
55.5%
Polymarket 55.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 58¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Polymarket
Contract
142
Last price
55.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Polymarket
166
52%
Polymarket 52%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
166
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
140
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
140
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
168
44%
Polymarket 44%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
168
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
138
41.5%
Polymarket 41.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
138
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Polymarket
170
40%
Polymarket 40%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
170
Last price
40%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Trade this on Polymarket
172
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
172
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 152
  • 150
  • 156

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in November 2026?". 152 leads at 89%. Next is 150 at 86%. $6K has traded across 17 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in November 2026?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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