This market has closed
Trading ended on Mar 29, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 207 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Ayatollah / Khamenei0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4991 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Ayatollah / Khamenei0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4991 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Ayatollah / Khamenei
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 207 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $4K
Bomb / Bomber0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4991 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Bomb / Bomber0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4991 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Bomb / Bomber
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 207 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $6K
Bully of the Middle East0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4991 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Bully of the Middle East0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4991 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Bully of the Middle East
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 207 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $5K
Democrat Shutdown0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4991 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Democrat Shutdown0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4991 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Democrat Shutdown
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 207 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $9K
Free Tina Peters0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4991 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Free Tina Peters0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4991 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Free Tina Peters
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 207 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $5K
Panican0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4991 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Panican0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4991 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Panican
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 207 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $10K
Trump derangement / Trump deranged0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4991 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Trump derangement / Trump deranged0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4991 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Trump derangement / Trump deranged
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 207 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $2K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:

- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Ayatollah / Khamenei
- Bomb / Bomber
- Bully of the Middle East
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "What will Trump post this week? (March 23 - March 29)". Ayatollah / Khamenei last traded at 0.1%. Next is Bomb / Bomber at 0.1%. $111K has traded across 7 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Mar 29, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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