The Prediction Markets

What will Trump say during the Health Care Affordability event?

FinalKickoff
Traded
$182K
Venues
Polymarket
Share

This market has closed

Trading ended on Apr 23, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 183 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Research and development / R&D
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 4401 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Research and development / R&D
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 183 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Cat
99.9%
Polymarket 99.9%polled, 4401 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Cat
Last price
99.9%
As of
Polled 183 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.8¢
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Go ahead 3+ times
99.8%
Polymarket 99.8%polled, 4401 h agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Go ahead 3+ times
Last price
99.8%
As of
Polled 183 d ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
99.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$91K
Trade this on Polymarket
Trump 3+ times
98.1%
Polymarket 98.1%polled, 4401 h agoBest Yes 99.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Trump 3+ times
Last price
98.1%
As of
Polled 183 d ago
Buy Yes
99.8¢
Sell Yes
96.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
Insurance
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 4401 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Insurance
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 183 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Veteran
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 4401 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Veteran
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 183 d ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Autism
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4401 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Autism
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 183 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Crypto / Bitcoin
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4401 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Crypto / Bitcoin
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 183 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Polymarket
EU / European Union
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4401 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
EU / European Union
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 183 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
MAHA
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4401 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
MAHA
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 183 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 5 more outcomes
No Qualifying Event-
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4401 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
No No No
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 183 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Obamacare
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4401 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Obamacare
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 183 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ozempic / Fat shot
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4401 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ozempic / Fat shot
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 183 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Somali / Somalia / Somalian
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4401 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Somali / Somalia / Somalian
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 183 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Unaffordable Care Act
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4401 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Unaffordable Care Act
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 183 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: youtube.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Research and development / R&D
  • Cat
  • Go ahead 3+ times

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "What will Trump say during the Health Care Affordability event? ". Research and development / R&D last traded at 100%. Next is Cat at 99.9%. $182K has traded across 15 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 23, 2026.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an event titled "The President participates in a Health Care Affordability Event" on April 23, 2026, 3PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the healthcare affordability event scheduled for April 23, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a Health Care Affordability Event" scheduled for April 23, 2026, 3PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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