The Prediction Markets

What will Trump say in April?

FinalKickoff
Traded
$269K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Apr 30, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 176 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Coward
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 4228 h agoBest Yes 8.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Coward
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
8.5¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,176 (11.8x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kennedy Center
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 4228 h agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kennedy Center
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Big League
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 4228 h agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Big League
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$731
Trade this on Polymarket
Dead by June
1.8%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 4228 h agoBest Yes 3.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dead by June
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
3.3¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,030 (30.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
RINO / Republican in Name Only
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 4228 h agoBest Yes 2.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
RINO / Republican in Name Only
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
2.6¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,846 (38.5x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
Not an Autopen / Not an Auto Pen
1.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 4228 h agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Not an Autopen / Not an Auto Pen
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
2.3¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,348 (43.5x)
Volume
$834
Trade this on Polymarket
White House Doctor
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 4228 h agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
White House Doctor
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
N Word
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 4228 h agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
N Word
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$70K
Trade this on Polymarket
Cocktail
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 4228 h agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cocktail
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$455
Trade this on Polymarket
Love Trump / Loves Trump
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 4228 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Love Trump / Loves Trump
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 11 more outcomes
America Last
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 4228 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
America Last
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Palestine
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 4228 h agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Palestine
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Fuck / Fucking / Fucked
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 4228 h agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fuck / Fucking / Fucked
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Polymarket
Paper Clip
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 4228 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paper Clip
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Toronto
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 4228 h agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Toronto
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Trump Time
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 4228 h agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Trump Time
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$802
Trade this on Polymarket
Alien Dot Gov / Aliens Dot Gov
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 4228 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alien Dot Gov / Aliens Dot Gov
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Braggadocious
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 4228 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Braggadocious
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Mustache
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 4228 h agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mustache
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Peacefully and Patriotically
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 4228 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Peacefully and Patriotically
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Trump Was Right About Everything
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 4228 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Trump Was Right About Everything
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Coward
  • Kennedy Center
  • Big League

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "What will Trump say in April?". Coward last traded at 4.5%. Next is Kennedy Center at 3.5%. $269K has traded across 21 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 30, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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