The Prediction Markets

What will Trump say in May?

FinalKickoff
Traded
$39K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on May 31, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 159 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Golden Dome
63%
Polymarket 63%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Golden Dome
Last price
63%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$131
Trade this on Polymarket
Cat
62.1%
Polymarket 62.1%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cat
Last price
62.1%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
25.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$172
Trade this on Polymarket
America Last
59.5%
Polymarket 59.5%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 91¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Polymarket
Contract
America Last
Last price
59.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$165
Trade this on Polymarket
Bunker
57.5%
Polymarket 57.5%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bunker
Last price
57.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Polymarket
Christmas
56.5%
Polymarket 56.5%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Christmas
Last price
56.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Pizza
53%
Polymarket 53%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pizza
Last price
53%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$16
Trade this on Polymarket
White House Faith Office
53%
Polymarket 53%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 91¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Polymarket
Contract
White House Faith Office
Last price
53%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$116
Trade this on Polymarket
Favorite Chart
52.5%
Polymarket 52.5%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Favorite Chart
Last price
52.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$175
Trade this on Polymarket
Bitcoin
52%
Polymarket 52%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bitcoin
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$429
Trade this on Polymarket
Epstein
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 58¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Polymarket
Contract
Epstein
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$590
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 13 more outcomes
Iwo Jima
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 71¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iwo Jima
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$370
Trade this on Polymarket
Nuke
40.5%
Polymarket 40.5%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 72¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nuke
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$844
Trade this on Polymarket
Neville / Chamberlain
36.5%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Polymarket
Contract
Neville / Chamberlain
Last price
36.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Discombobulator / Discombobulated
34%
Polymarket 34%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
Contract
Discombobulator / Discombobulated
Last price
34%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$769
Trade this on Polymarket
Egghead
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 58¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Polymarket
Contract
Egghead
Last price
32.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Big Bang
32%
Polymarket 32%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 58¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Polymarket
Contract
Big Bang
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Buy Dell Computer / Buy a Dell Computer
20.5%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
Buy Dell Computer / Buy a Dell Computer
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Asshole
17.5%
Polymarket 17.5%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Asshole
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$340
Trade this on Polymarket
Barack Hussein Obamacare
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Barack Hussein Obamacare
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$855
Trade this on Polymarket
Prediction Market
13.5%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
Prediction Market
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$650
Trade this on Polymarket
Braggadocious
9.5%
Polymarket 9.5%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Braggadocious
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$317
Trade this on Polymarket
Darth Vader
9%
Polymarket 9%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Darth Vader
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Skedaddle
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Skedaddle
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$54
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Golden Dome
  • Cat
  • America Last

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "What will Trump say in May?". Golden Dome last traded at 63%. Next is Cat at 62.1%. $39K has traded across 23 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on May 31, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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