The Prediction Markets

Which companies will official announce an IPO before 2028?

Closes
Jan 1, 2028, in 14 months
Traded
$12K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
56 min ago
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What the markets expect

Oura 67%

Next is DeepSeek at 57%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 56 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Oura
67%
Kalshi 67%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oura
Last price
67%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Trade this on Kalshi
DeepSeek
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
Contract
DeepSeek
Last price
57%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$9
Trade this on Kalshi
Kraken
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kraken
Last price
53%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$787
Trade this on Kalshi
OpenAI
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
Contract
OpenAI
Last price
53%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$657
Trade this on Kalshi
Databricks
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
Contract
Databricks
Last price
40%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$487
Trade this on Kalshi
Discord
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Discord
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$435
Trade this on Kalshi
Plaid
36%
Kalshi 36%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Plaid
Last price
36%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Ramp
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ramp
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Deel
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Deel
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Bloomberg
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bloomberg
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 14 more outcomes
Anduril
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Anduril
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Gopuff
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Gopuff
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$636
Trade this on Kalshi
Skims
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Skims
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Glean
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Glean
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Stripe
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stripe
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Applied Intuition
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Applied Intuition
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Celonis
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Celonis
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Rippling
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rippling
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Mistral AI
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mistral AI
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Vanta
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Vanta
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ripple Labs
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ripple Labs
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Airwallex
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Airwallex
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Beast Industries
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Beast Industries
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Brex
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brex
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ABC, CNBC, The Wall Street Journal

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Oura
  • DeepSeek
  • Kraken

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Which companies will official announce an IPO before 2028?". Oura leads at 67%. Next is DeepSeek at 57%. $12K has traded across 24 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2028.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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