The Prediction Markets

Which states will enact data center moratoriums before 2028?

Closes
Jan 1, 2028, in 14 months
Traded
$3K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
43 min ago
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What the markets expect

New Mexico 70.5%

Next is Maine at 65.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 43 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
New Mexico
70.5%
Kalshi 70.5%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
New Mexico
Last price
70.5%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Maine
65.5%
Kalshi 65.5%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
Contract
Maine
Last price
65.5%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Trade this on Kalshi
New Hampshire
63%
Kalshi 63%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
Contract
New Hampshire
Last price
63%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$8
Trade this on Kalshi
Michigan
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michigan
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$19
Trade this on Kalshi
Oregon
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 43 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Oregon
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Wisconsin
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Wisconsin
Last price
37%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
California
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
California
Last price
31%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$30
Trade this on Kalshi
Iowa
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Iowa
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$314
Trade this on Kalshi
Maryland
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Maryland
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Georgia
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Georgia
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 38 more outcomes
Ohio
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ohio
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$250
Trade this on Kalshi
New Jersey
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
New Jersey
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Indiana
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Indiana
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$154
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
North Carolina
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
North Carolina
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$208
Trade this on Kalshi
Hawaii
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hawaii
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$163
Trade this on Kalshi
Pennsylvania
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pennsylvania
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$38
Trade this on Kalshi
Vermont
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Vermont
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Virginia
12.5%
Kalshi 12.5%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Virginia
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Arizona
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arizona
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$222
Trade this on Kalshi
Missouri
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Missouri
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$130
Trade this on Kalshi
Colorado
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Colorado
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Illinois
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Illinois
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Massachusetts
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Massachusetts
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Kansas
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kansas
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Washington
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Washington
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Alaska
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alaska
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$124
Trade this on Kalshi
Louisiana
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Louisiana
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$107
Trade this on Kalshi
Rhode Island
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rhode Island
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$104
Trade this on Kalshi
Alabama
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alabama
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$124
Trade this on Kalshi
Oklahoma
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oklahoma
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$201
Trade this on Kalshi
Tennessee
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tennessee
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$77
Trade this on Kalshi
Delaware
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Delaware
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Florida
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Florida
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Mississippi
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mississippi
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$14
Trade this on Kalshi
Connecticut
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Connecticut
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Nevada
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nevada
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
South Dakota
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
South Dakota
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kentucky
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kentucky
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Montana
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Montana
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Nebraska
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nebraska
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Idaho
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Idaho
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
North Dakota
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
North Dakota
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Utah
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Utah
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
West Virginia
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
West Virginia
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Wyoming
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Wyoming
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
South Carolina
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
South Carolina
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$67
Trade this on Kalshi
Arkansas
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arkansas
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 43 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$123
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: each state's official government websites, the Associated Press, Reuters

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • New Mexico
  • Maine
  • New Hampshire

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Which states will enact data center moratoriums before 2028?". New Mexico leads at 70.5%. Next is Maine at 65.5%. $3K has traded across 48 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2028.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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