The Prediction Markets

White House # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

Closed
Apr 14, 2026
Traded
$83K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Apr 14, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 196 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
140-159
43.1%
Polymarket 45%(43.1% fair)polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
140-159
Last price
45%
Fair, margin removed
43.1%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
160-179
35%
Polymarket 36.5%(35% fair)polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
160-179
Last price
36.5%
Fair, margin removed
35%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
120-139
10.5%
Polymarket 10.9%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 12.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $820 (8.20x)
Polymarket
Contract
120-139
Last price
10.9%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
12.2¢
Sell Yes
9.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$820 (8.20x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
200+
6.4%
Polymarket 6.7%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
200+
Last price
6.7%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
6.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
180-199
3.7%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
180-199
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
3.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
100-119
1.2%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
100-119
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Polymarket
80-99
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
80-99
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
60-79
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4711 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
60-79
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: x.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 140-159
  • 160-179
  • 120-139

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "White House # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?". 140-159 last traded at 43.1%. Next is 160-179 at 35%. $83K has traded across 8 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 14, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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