Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
This market has closed
Trading ended on Jun 2, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 159 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Steve Hilton72%72%70¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago74¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Steve Hilton72%Polymarket 72%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Steve Hilton
72%
72%
70¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
74¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Steve Hilton
72%
Polymarket 72%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Steve Hilton
- Last price
- 72%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 70¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
- Volume
- $42K
Xavier Becerra67.9%67.9%66.9¢ bid, 68.9¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago68.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $145 (1.45x)Xavier Becerra67.9%Polymarket 67.9%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 68.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Xavier Becerra
67.9%
67.9%
66.9¢ bid, 68.9¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
68.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Xavier Becerra
67.9%
Polymarket 67.9%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 68.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Xavier Becerra
- Last price
- 67.9%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 68.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 66.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
- Volume
- $14K
Tom Steyer54%54%46¢ bid, 62¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago62¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $161 (1.61x)Tom Steyer54%Polymarket 54%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Tom Steyer
54%
54%
46¢ bid, 62¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
62¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Tom Steyer
54%
Polymarket 54%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Tom Steyer
- Last price
- 54%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 62¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $161 (1.61x)
- Volume
- $26K
Javen Allen7.2%7.2%0.8¢ bid, 13.5¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago13.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $741 (7.41x)Javen Allen7.2%Polymarket 7.2%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 13.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $741 (7.41x)
Javen Allen
7.2%
7.2%
0.8¢ bid, 13.5¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
13.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $741 (7.41x)
Javen Allen
7.2%
Polymarket 7.2%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 13.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $741 (7.41x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Javen Allen
- Last price
- 7.2%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 13.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $741 (7.41x)
- Volume
- $1K
Matt Mahan5.8%5.8%3.5¢ bid, 8.1¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago8.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,235 (12.3x)Matt Mahan5.8%Polymarket 5.8%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 8.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,235 (12.3x)
Matt Mahan
5.8%
5.8%
3.5¢ bid, 8.1¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
8.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,235 (12.3x)
Matt Mahan
5.8%
Polymarket 5.8%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 8.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,235 (12.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Matt Mahan
- Last price
- 5.8%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,235 (12.3x)
- Volume
- $23K
Chad Bianco4.4%4.4%3.2¢ bid, 5.6¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago5.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)Chad Bianco4.4%Polymarket 4.4%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Chad Bianco
4.4%
4.4%
3.2¢ bid, 5.6¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
5.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Chad Bianco
4.4%
Polymarket 4.4%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Chad Bianco
- Last price
- 4.4%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,786 (17.9x)
- Volume
- $34K
Betty Yee2.7%2.7%0.5¢ bid, 4.9¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago4.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)Betty Yee2.7%Polymarket 2.7%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Betty Yee
2.7%
2.7%
0.5¢ bid, 4.9¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
4.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Betty Yee
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Betty Yee
- Last price
- 2.7%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
- Volume
- $5K
Ethan Agarwal2.7%2.7%1¢ bid, 4.3¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago4.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)Ethan Agarwal2.7%Polymarket 2.7%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Ethan Agarwal
2.7%
2.7%
1¢ bid, 4.3¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
4.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Ethan Agarwal
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ethan Agarwal
- Last price
- 2.7%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,326 (23.3x)
- Volume
- $4K
Elaine Culotti2.5%2.5%0.6¢ bid, 4.4¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago4.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)Elaine Culotti2.5%Polymarket 2.5%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Elaine Culotti
2.5%
2.5%
0.6¢ bid, 4.4¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
4.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Elaine Culotti
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Elaine Culotti
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,273 (22.7x)
- Volume
- $299
Jimmy Parker2.4%2.4%1.1¢ bid, 3.7¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago3.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)Jimmy Parker2.4%Polymarket 2.4%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Jimmy Parker
2.4%
2.4%
1.1¢ bid, 3.7¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
3.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Jimmy Parker
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jimmy Parker
- Last price
- 2.4%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,703 (27.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Show 26 more outcomesHide 26 outcomes
Ryan Tillman2.3%2.3%0.9¢ bid, 3.7¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago3.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)Ryan Tillman2.3%Polymarket 2.3%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Ryan Tillman
2.3%
2.3%
0.9¢ bid, 3.7¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
3.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Ryan Tillman
2.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ryan Tillman
- Last price
- 2.3%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,703 (27.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Katie Porter2.3%2.3%1.6¢ bid, 2.9¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago2.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)Katie Porter2.3%Polymarket 2.3%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Katie Porter
2.3%
2.3%
1.6¢ bid, 2.9¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
2.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Katie Porter
2.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Katie Porter
- Last price
- 2.3%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
- Volume
- $12K
David Thelen2%2%1.1¢ bid, 2.9¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago2.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)David Thelen2%Polymarket 2%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
David Thelen
2%
2%
1.1¢ bid, 2.9¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
2.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
David Thelen
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- David Thelen
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
- Volume
- $1K
Daniel Mercuri1.8%1.8%0.5¢ bid, 3.1¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago3.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)Daniel Mercuri1.8%Polymarket 1.8%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Daniel Mercuri
1.8%
1.8%
0.5¢ bid, 3.1¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
3.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Daniel Mercuri
1.8%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Daniel Mercuri
- Last price
- 1.8%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,226 (32.3x)
- Volume
- $11K
Ché Ahn1.8%1.8%0.7¢ bid, 2.8¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago2.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)Ché Ahn1.8%Polymarket 1.8%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Ché Ahn
1.8%
1.8%
0.7¢ bid, 2.8¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
2.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Ché Ahn
1.8%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ché Ahn
- Last price
- 1.8%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
- Volume
- $18K
Thunder Parley1.7%1.7%0.9¢ bid, 2.5¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago2.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)Thunder Parley1.7%Polymarket 1.7%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Thunder Parley
1.7%
1.7%
0.9¢ bid, 2.5¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
2.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Thunder Parley
1.7%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Thunder Parley
- Last price
- 1.7%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,000 (40.0x)
- Volume
- $54K
Ian Calderon1.5%1.5%0.6¢ bid, 2.3¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago2.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)Ian Calderon1.5%Polymarket 1.5%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Ian Calderon
1.5%
1.5%
0.6¢ bid, 2.3¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
2.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Ian Calderon
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ian Calderon
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,348 (43.5x)
- Volume
- $114K
Nicki Minaj1.3%1.3%0.4¢ bid, 2.2¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago2.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)Nicki Minaj1.3%Polymarket 1.3%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Nicki Minaj
1.3%
1.3%
0.4¢ bid, 2.2¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
2.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Nicki Minaj
1.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nicki Minaj
- Last price
- 1.3%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,545 (45.5x)
- Volume
- $4K
Raji Rab1.3%1.3%0.7¢ bid, 1.9¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago1.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)Raji Rab1.3%Polymarket 1.3%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Raji Rab
1.3%
1.3%
0.7¢ bid, 1.9¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
1.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Raji Rab
1.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Raji Rab
- Last price
- 1.3%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,263 (52.6x)
- Volume
- $7K
Eric Swalwell1.3%1.3%0.7¢ bid, 1.8¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago1.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)Eric Swalwell1.3%Polymarket 1.3%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Eric Swalwell
1.3%
1.3%
0.7¢ bid, 1.8¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
1.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Eric Swalwell
1.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Eric Swalwell
- Last price
- 1.3%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,556 (55.6x)
- Volume
- $74K
Zoltan Istvan1.3%1.3%0.8¢ bid, 1.7¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago1.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)Zoltan Istvan1.3%Polymarket 1.3%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Zoltan Istvan
1.3%
1.3%
0.8¢ bid, 1.7¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
1.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Zoltan Istvan
1.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Zoltan Istvan
- Last price
- 1.3%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,882 (58.8x)
- Volume
- $12K
Antonio Villaraigosa1.2%1.2%0.5¢ bid, 1.9¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago1.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)Antonio Villaraigosa1.2%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Antonio Villaraigosa
1.2%
1.2%
0.5¢ bid, 1.9¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
1.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Antonio Villaraigosa
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Antonio Villaraigosa
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,263 (52.6x)
- Volume
- $13K
Kyle Langford1.2%1.2%0.7¢ bid, 1.7¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago1.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)Kyle Langford1.2%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Kyle Langford
1.2%
1.2%
0.7¢ bid, 1.7¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
1.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Kyle Langford
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kyle Langford
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,882 (58.8x)
- Volume
- $12K
Brandon Jones1.2%1.2%0.7¢ bid, 1.6¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago1.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)Brandon Jones1.2%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Brandon Jones
1.2%
1.2%
0.7¢ bid, 1.6¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
1.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Brandon Jones
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Brandon Jones
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $6,250 (62.5x)
- Volume
- $42K
Leonard Jackson1.2%1.2%0.7¢ bid, 1.6¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago1.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)Leonard Jackson1.2%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Leonard Jackson
1.2%
1.2%
0.7¢ bid, 1.6¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
1.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Leonard Jackson
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Leonard Jackson
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $6,250 (62.5x)
- Volume
- $4K
Butch Ware1.1%1.1%0.7¢ bid, 1.5¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago1.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)Butch Ware1.1%Polymarket 1.1%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Butch Ware
1.1%
1.1%
0.7¢ bid, 1.5¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
1.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Butch Ware
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Butch Ware
- Last price
- 1.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $6,667 (66.7x)
- Volume
- $9K
Carolina Buhler1.1%1.1%0.7¢ bid, 1.5¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago1.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)Carolina Buhler1.1%Polymarket 1.1%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Carolina Buhler
1.1%
1.1%
0.7¢ bid, 1.5¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
1.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Carolina Buhler
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Carolina Buhler
- Last price
- 1.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $6,667 (66.7x)
- Volume
- $9K
Sophia Brink1.1%1.1%0.6¢ bid, 1.5¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago1.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)Sophia Brink1.1%Polymarket 1.1%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Sophia Brink
1.1%
1.1%
0.6¢ bid, 1.5¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
1.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Sophia Brink
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sophia Brink
- Last price
- 1.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $6,667 (66.7x)
- Volume
- $38K
Derek Grasty1%1%0.6¢ bid, 1.4¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago1.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)Derek Grasty1%Polymarket 1%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Derek Grasty
1%
1%
0.6¢ bid, 1.4¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
1.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Derek Grasty
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Derek Grasty
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $7,143 (71.4x)
- Volume
- $23K
Nicholas Thompson1%1%0.7¢ bid, 1.2¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago1.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)Nicholas Thompson1%Polymarket 1%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Nicholas Thompson
1%
1%
0.7¢ bid, 1.2¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
1.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Nicholas Thompson
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nicholas Thompson
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $8,333 (83.3x)
- Volume
- $7K
David Serpa0.9%0.9%0.6¢ bid, 1.2¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago1.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)David Serpa0.9%Polymarket 0.9%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
David Serpa
0.9%
0.9%
0.6¢ bid, 1.2¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
1.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
David Serpa
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- David Serpa
- Last price
- 0.9%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $8,333 (83.3x)
- Volume
- $5K
Ramsey Robinson0.9%0.9%0.6¢ bid, 1.1¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago1.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)Ramsey Robinson0.9%Polymarket 0.9%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Ramsey Robinson
0.9%
0.9%
0.6¢ bid, 1.1¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
1.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Ramsey Robinson
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ramsey Robinson
- Last price
- 0.9%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $9,091 (90.9x)
- Volume
- $5K
Tony Thurmond0.8%0.8%0.7¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Tony Thurmond0.8%Polymarket 0.8%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Tony Thurmond
0.8%
0.8%
0.7¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Tony Thurmond
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Tony Thurmond
- Last price
- 0.8%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $12K
Leo Zacky0.7%0.7%0.5¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Leo Zacky0.7%Polymarket 0.7%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Leo Zacky
0.7%
0.7%
0.5¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Leo Zacky
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Leo Zacky
- Last price
- 0.7%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $6K
Dylan Colbert0.7%0.7%0.4¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Dylan Colbert0.7%Polymarket 0.7%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Dylan Colbert
0.7%
0.7%
0.4¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Dylan Colbert
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dylan Colbert
- Last price
- 0.7%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $15K
Sharifah Hardie0.5%0.5%0.3¢ bid, 0.6¢ askpolled, 3825 h ago0.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $16,667 (167x)Sharifah Hardie0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Sharifah Hardie
0.5%
0.5%
0.3¢ bid, 0.6¢ ask
polled, 3825 h ago
0.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Sharifah Hardie
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 3825 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sharifah Hardie
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $16,667 (167x)
- Volume
- $2K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Steve Hilton
- Xavier Becerra
- Tom Steyer
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "Who will advance from the California Governor primary?". Steve Hilton last traded at 72%. Next is Xavier Becerra at 67.9%. $662K has traded across 36 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Jun 2, 2026.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
More politics markets
See all politics markets- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.8%$1.3B traded
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028J.D. Vance44.2%$716.0M traded
- 2028 Democratic nominee for President?Jon Ossoff16%$246.3M traded
- Netanyahu out by...?December 3141.5%$124.6M traded
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?Nicolás Maduro76.7%$98.7M traded
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?J.D. Vance20%$76.4M traded