What are the odds of No Next Minister by Feb 28 in Who will be Israeli health minister after the election??

No Next Minister by Feb 28 is currently priced at 32.8% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of Avigdor Lieberman in Who will be Israeli health minister after the election??

Avigdor Lieberman is currently priced at 27.6% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of Michael Malchieli in Who will be Israeli health minister after the election??

Michael Malchieli is currently priced at 18.1% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of Aryeh Deri in Who will be Israeli health minister after the election??

Aryeh Deri is currently priced at 17.2% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of Naftali Bennett in Who will be Israeli health minister after the election??

Naftali Bennett is currently priced at 14.5% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of Miri Regev in Who will be Israeli health minister after the election??

Miri Regev is currently priced at 8.8% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of Moshe Arbel in Who will be Israeli health minister after the election??

Moshe Arbel is currently priced at 8.7% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of Yoav Ben-Tzur in Who will be Israeli health minister after the election??

Yoav Ben-Tzur is currently priced at 8.5% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of Keren Terner Eyal in Who will be Israeli health minister after the election??

Keren Terner Eyal is currently priced at 7.6% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of Yoram Cohen in Who will be Israeli health minister after the election??

Yoram Cohen is currently priced at 6.1% in prediction markets.

Who will be Israeli health minister after the election?

Closes: Oct 27, 2027, in 12 months
Traded: $416K
Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated: just now

What the markets expect

No Next Minister by Feb 28 32.8%

Next is Avigdor Lieberman at 27.6%. The venues differ most on Oded Forer (Polymarket 1.5%, Kalshi 3.5%), a 2.1-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

Polymarket
Kalshi

Outcome

Consensus

Venue prices on a 0–100% scale

Polymarket

Kalshi

Best Yes price

No Next Minister by Feb 28

32.8%

37.5%

37¢ bid, 38¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

Not listed

31¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $323 (3.23x)

No Next Minister by Feb 28

32.8%

Polymarket 32.7%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 29.5%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 37.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)

Polymarket

Contract: No Next Minister by Feb 28
Last price: 32.7%
As of: Polled just now
Buy Yes: 32.7¢
Sell Yes: 32.6¢
$100 on Yes pays: $306 (3.06x)
Volume: $93K

Trade this on Polymarket

Polymarket

Contract: No Next Minister by Feb 28
Last price: 29.5%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 31¢
Sell Yes: 28¢
$100 on Yes pays: $323 (3.23x)
Volume: $67K

Trade this on Polymarket

Polymarket

Contract: No Next Minister by Feb 28
Last price: 37.5%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 38¢
Sell Yes: 37¢
$100 on Yes pays: $263 (2.63x)
Volume: $22K

Trade this on Polymarket

Avigdor Lieberman

27.6%

23.1%

1.1¢ bid, 45.1¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

Not listed

17.4¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $575 (5.75x)

Avigdor Lieberman

27.6%

Polymarket 36.3%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 16.8%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 23.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 17.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $575 (5.75x)

Polymarket

Contract: Avigdor Lieberman
Last price: 36.3%
As of: Polled just now
Buy Yes: 38.2¢
Sell Yes: 34.3¢
$100 on Yes pays: $262 (2.62x)
Volume: $45K

Trade this on Polymarket

Polymarket

Contract: Avigdor Lieberman
Last price: 16.8%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 17.4¢
Sell Yes: 16.2¢
$100 on Yes pays: $575 (5.75x)
Volume: $20K

Trade this on Polymarket

Polymarket

Contract: Avigdor Lieberman
Last price: 23.1%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 45.1¢
Sell Yes: 1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays: $222 (2.22x)
Volume: $317

Trade this on Polymarket

Michael Malchieli

18.1%

2.2¢ bid, 33.9¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

Not listed

33.9¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $295 (2.95x)

Michael Malchieli

18.1%

Polymarket 18.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 33.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $295 (2.95x)

Polymarket

Contract: Michael Malchieli
Last price: 18.1%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 33.9¢
Sell Yes: 2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays: $295 (2.95x)
Volume: $3K

Trade this on Polymarket

Aryeh Deri

17.2%

1.1¢ bid, 33.2¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

Not listed

33.2¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $301 (3.01x)

Aryeh Deri

17.2%

Polymarket 17.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 33.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $301 (3.01x)

Polymarket

Contract: Aryeh Deri
Last price: 17.2%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 33.2¢
Sell Yes: 1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays: $301 (3.01x)
Volume: $546

Trade this on Polymarket

Naftali Bennett

14.5%

14.9%

14.7¢ bid, 15¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

Not listed

15¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $667 (6.67x)

Naftali Bennett

14.5%

Polymarket 14.2%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 14.9%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)

Polymarket

Contract: Naftali Bennett
Last price: 14.2%
As of: Polled just now
Buy Yes: 15.9¢
Sell Yes: 12.5¢
$100 on Yes pays: $629 (6.29x)
Volume: $21K

Trade this on Polymarket

Polymarket

Contract: Naftali Bennett
Last price: 14.9%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 15¢
Sell Yes: 14.7¢
$100 on Yes pays: $667 (6.67x)
Volume: $22K

Trade this on Polymarket

Miri Regev

8.8%

1¢ bid, 16.5¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

Not listed

16.5¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $606 (6.06x)

Miri Regev

8.8%

Polymarket 8.8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 16.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $606 (6.06x)

Polymarket

Contract: Miri Regev
Last price: 8.8%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 16.5¢
Sell Yes: 1¢
$100 on Yes pays: $606 (6.06x)
Volume: $1K

Trade this on Polymarket

Moshe Arbel

8.7%

1.1¢ bid, 16.3¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

Not listed

16.3¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $613 (6.13x)

Moshe Arbel

8.7%

Polymarket 8.7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 16.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $613 (6.13x)

Polymarket

Contract: Moshe Arbel
Last price: 8.7%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 16.3¢
Sell Yes: 1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays: $613 (6.13x)
Volume: $1K

Trade this on Polymarket

Yoav Ben-Tzur

8.5%

5¢ bid, 12¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

Not listed

12¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $833 (8.33x)

Yoav Ben-Tzur

8.5%

Polymarket 8.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)

Polymarket

Contract: Yoav Ben-Tzur
Last price: 8.5%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 12¢
Sell Yes: 5¢
$100 on Yes pays: $833 (8.33x)
Volume: $3K

Trade this on Polymarket

Keren Terner Eyal

7.6%

1¢ bid, 14.2¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

Not listed

14.2¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $704 (7.04x)

Keren Terner Eyal

7.6%

Polymarket 7.6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 14.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $704 (7.04x)

Polymarket

Contract: Keren Terner Eyal
Last price: 7.6%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 14.2¢
Sell Yes: 1¢
$100 on Yes pays: $704 (7.04x)
Volume: $355

Trade this on Polymarket

Yoram Cohen

6.1%

23.2%

1¢ bid, 45.4¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

Not listed

0.6¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $16,667 (167x)

Yoram Cohen

6.1%

Polymarket 0.4%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 23.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)

Polymarket

Contract: Yoram Cohen
Last price: 0.4%
As of: Polled just now
Buy Yes: 0.6¢
Sell Yes: 0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays: $16,667 (167x)
Volume: $2K

Trade this on Polymarket

Polymarket

Contract: Yoram Cohen
Last price: 23.2%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 45.4¢
Sell Yes: 1¢
$100 on Yes pays: $220 (2.20x)
Volume: $410

Trade this on Polymarket

Show 34 more outcomes

Gadi Eizenkot

3.3%

0.5¢ bid, 6¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

Not listed

6¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)

Gadi Eizenkot

Polymarket 7.6%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 3.3%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)

Polymarket

Contract: Gadi Eizenkot
Last price: 7.6%
As of: Polled just now
Buy Yes: 10.1¢
Sell Yes: 5¢
$100 on Yes pays: $990 (9.90x)
Volume: $3K

Trade this on Polymarket

Polymarket

Contract: Gadi Eizenkot
Last price: 3.3%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 6¢
Sell Yes: 0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays: $1,667 (16.7x)
Volume: $2K

Trade this on Polymarket

Hili Tropper

Polymarket: “Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper)”

5.9%

1¢ bid, 10.8¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

Not listed

10.8¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $926 (9.26x)

Hili Tropper

5.9%

Polymarket 5.9%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 10.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $926 (9.26x)

Polymarket

Contract: Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper)
Last price: 5.9%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 10.8¢
Sell Yes: 1¢
$100 on Yes pays: $926 (9.26x)
Volume: $383

Trade this on Polymarket

Uriel Buso

Not listed

4¢ bid, 6¢ ask

polled, 15s ago

6¢ on Kalshi

$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)

Uriel Buso

Kalshi 5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)

Kalshi

Contract: Uriel Buso
Last price: 5%
As of: Polled just now
Buy Yes: 6¢
Sell Yes: 4¢
$100 on Yes pays: $1,667 (16.7x)

Trade this on Kalshi

Yaakov Asher

Not listed

4¢ bid, 7¢ ask

polled, 15s ago

7¢ on Kalshi

$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)

Yaakov Asher

Kalshi 5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)

Kalshi

Contract: Yaakov Asher
Last price: 5%
As of: Polled just now
Buy Yes: 7¢
Sell Yes: 4¢
$100 on Yes pays: $1,429 (14.3x)
Volume: $1K

Trade this on Kalshi

Haim Katz

Not listed

3¢ bid, 5¢ ask

polled, 15s ago

5¢ on Kalshi

$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)

Haim Katz

Kalshi 4%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)

Kalshi

Contract: Haim Katz
Last price: 4%
As of: Polled just now
Buy Yes: 5¢
Sell Yes: 3¢
$100 on Yes pays: $2,000 (20.0x)

Trade this on Kalshi

Orit Farkash-HacohenArb

3.9%

7.5%

1¢ bid, 14¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

3.5%

3¢ bid, 4¢ ask

polled, 15s ago

1¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $10,000 (100x)

Orit Farkash-HacohenArb

3.9%

Polymarket 0.6%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 7.5%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 3.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)

Polymarket

Contract: Orit Farkash-Hacohen
Last price: 0.6%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 1¢
Sell Yes: 0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays: $10,000 (100x)
Volume: $1K

Trade this on Polymarket

Polymarket

Contract: Orit Farkash-Hacohen
Last price: 7.5%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 14¢
Sell Yes: 1¢
$100 on Yes pays: $714 (7.14x)
Volume: $421

Trade this on Polymarket

Kalshi

Contract: Orit Farkash-Hacohen
Last price: 3.5%
As of: Polled just now
Buy Yes: 4¢
Sell Yes: 3¢
$100 on Yes pays: $2,500 (25.0x)

Trade this on Kalshi

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 3¢ nets 200 bps before fees.

Ayelet Shaked

3.9%

0.7¢ bid, 7¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

Not listed

7¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)

Ayelet Shaked

3.9%

Polymarket 3.9%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)

Polymarket

Contract: Ayelet Shaked
Last price: 3.9%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 7¢
Sell Yes: 0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays: $1,429 (14.3x)
Volume: $782

Trade this on Polymarket

Yariv Levin

3.6%

0.6¢ bid, 6.6¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

Not listed

6.6¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $1,515 (15.2x)

Yariv Levin

3.6%

Polymarket 3.6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,515 (15.2x)

Polymarket

Contract: Yariv Levin
Last price: 3.6%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 6.6¢
Sell Yes: 0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays: $1,515 (15.2x)
Volume: $363

Trade this on Polymarket

Efrat Rayten

3.5%

Not listed

3.5%

3¢ bid, 4¢ ask

polled, 15s ago

4¢ on Kalshi

$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)

Efrat Rayten

3.5%

Kalshi 3.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)

Kalshi

Contract: Efrat Rayten
Last price: 3.5%
As of: Polled just now
Buy Yes: 4¢
Sell Yes: 3¢
$100 on Yes pays: $2,500 (25.0x)

Trade this on Kalshi

Shaul Meridor

3.2%

1.4¢ bid, 5¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

Not listed

5¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)

Shaul Meridor

3.2%

Polymarket 3.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)

Polymarket

Contract: Shaul Meridor
Last price: 3.2%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 5¢
Sell Yes: 1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays: $2,000 (20.0x)
Volume: $6K

Trade this on Polymarket

Meirav Ben-Ari

Not listed

2¢ bid, 4¢ ask

polled, 15s ago

4¢ on Kalshi

$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)

Meirav Ben-Ari

Kalshi 3%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)

Kalshi

Contract: Meirav Ben-Ari
Last price: 3%
As of: Polled just now
Buy Yes: 4¢
Sell Yes: 2¢
$100 on Yes pays: $2,500 (25.0x)

Trade this on Kalshi

Michal Rozin

Not listed

2¢ bid, 4¢ ask

polled, 15s ago

4¢ on Kalshi

$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)

Michal Rozin

Kalshi 3%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)

Kalshi

Contract: Michal Rozin
Last price: 3%
As of: Polled just now
Buy Yes: 4¢
Sell Yes: 2¢
$100 on Yes pays: $2,500 (25.0x)

Trade this on Kalshi

Tair Ifergan

Not listed

2¢ bid, 4¢ ask

polled, 15s ago

4¢ on Kalshi

$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)

Tair Ifergan

Kalshi 3%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)

Kalshi

Contract: Tair Ifergan
Last price: 3%
As of: Polled just now
Buy Yes: 4¢
Sell Yes: 2¢
$100 on Yes pays: $2,500 (25.0x)

Trade this on Kalshi

Israel Katz

3.5%

0.7¢ bid, 6.2¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

Not listed

4.3¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)

Israel Katz

Polymarket 2.6%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 3.3%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 3.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)

Polymarket

Contract: Israel Katz
Last price: 2.6%
As of: Polled just now
Buy Yes: 4.3¢
Sell Yes: 0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays: $2,326 (23.3x)
Volume: $10K

Trade this on Polymarket

Polymarket

Contract: Israel Katz
Last price: 3.3%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 5.3¢
Sell Yes: 1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays: $1,887 (18.9x)
Volume: $2K

Trade this on Polymarket

Polymarket

Contract: Israel Katz
Last price: 3.5%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 6.2¢
Sell Yes: 0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays: $1,613 (16.1x)
Volume: $2K

Trade this on Polymarket

Meirav Cohen

2.8%

2.5%

0.4¢ bid, 4.6¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

2¢ bid, 4¢ ask

polled, 15s ago

4¢ on Kalshi

$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)

Meirav Cohen

2.8%

Polymarket 2.5%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 3%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)

Polymarket

Contract: Meirav Cohen
Last price: 2.5%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 4.6¢
Sell Yes: 0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays: $2,174 (21.7x)
Volume: $312

Trade this on Polymarket

Kalshi

Contract: Meirav Cohen
Last price: 3%
As of: Polled just now
Buy Yes: 4¢
Sell Yes: 2¢
$100 on Yes pays: $2,500 (25.0x)

Trade this on Kalshi

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4.6¢.

Yair Golan

Kalshi: “Yitzhak Goldknopf”

2.5%

Not listed

2.5%

2¢ bid, 3¢ ask

polled, 15s ago

3¢ on Kalshi

$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)

Yair Golan

2.5%

Kalshi 2.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)

Kalshi

Contract: Yitzhak Goldknopf
Last price: 2.5%
As of: Polled just now
Buy Yes: 3¢
Sell Yes: 2¢
$100 on Yes pays: $3,333 (33.3x)

Trade this on Kalshi

Yitzhak Pindrus

2.5%

Not listed

2.5%

2¢ bid, 3¢ ask

polled, 15s ago

3¢ on Kalshi

$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)

Yitzhak Pindrus

2.5%

Kalshi 2.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)

Kalshi

Contract: Yitzhak Pindrus
Last price: 2.5%
As of: Polled just now
Buy Yes: 3¢
Sell Yes: 2¢
$100 on Yes pays: $3,333 (33.3x)

Trade this on Kalshi

Oded ForerArb

2.5%

1.5%

0.2¢ bid, 2.7¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

3.5%

3¢ bid, 4¢ ask

polled, 15s ago

2.7¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)

Oded ForerArb

2.5%

Polymarket 1.5%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 3.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)

Polymarket

Contract: Oded Forer
Last price: 1.5%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 2.7¢
Sell Yes: 0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays: $3,704 (37.0x)
Volume: $306

Trade this on Polymarket

Kalshi

Contract: Oded Forer
Last price: 3.5%
As of: Polled just now
Buy Yes: 4¢
Sell Yes: 3¢
$100 on Yes pays: $2,500 (25.0x)

Trade this on Kalshi

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 3¢ nets 30 bps before fees.

Yaron Zelekha

2.3%

0.3¢ bid, 4.3¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

Not listed

4.3¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)

Yaron Zelekha

2.3%

Polymarket 2.3%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)

Polymarket

Contract: Yaron Zelekha
Last price: 2.3%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 4.3¢
Sell Yes: 0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays: $2,326 (23.3x)
Volume: $19K

Trade this on Polymarket

Bezalel Smotrich

1.6%

2.2%

0.5¢ bid, 3.9¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

Not listed

0.4¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $25,000 (250x)

Bezalel Smotrich

1.6%

Polymarket 0.4%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 2.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)

Polymarket

Contract: Bezalel Smotrich
Last price: 0.4%
As of: Polled just now
Buy Yes: 0.4¢
Sell Yes: 0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays: $25,000 (250x)
Volume: $3K

Trade this on Polymarket

Polymarket

Contract: Bezalel Smotrich
Last price: 2.2%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 3.9¢
Sell Yes: 0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays: $2,564 (25.6x)
Volume: $6K

Trade this on Polymarket

Nir Barkat

1.6%

0.5¢ bid, 2.6¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

Not listed

2.6¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)

Nir Barkat

1.6%

Polymarket 1.6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)

Polymarket

Contract: Nir Barkat
Last price: 1.6%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 2.6¢
Sell Yes: 0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays: $3,846 (38.5x)
Volume: $6K

Trade this on Polymarket

Yair Golan

1.5%

3.5%

0.6¢ bid, 6.4¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

Not listed

1¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $10,000 (100x)

Yair Golan

1.5%

Polymarket 0.9%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 0.6%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 3.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)

Polymarket

Contract: Yair Golan
Last price: 0.9%
As of: Polled just now
Buy Yes: 1.2¢
Sell Yes: 0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays: $8,333 (83.3x)
Volume: $3K

Trade this on Polymarket

Polymarket

Contract: Yair Golan
Last price: 0.6%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 1¢
Sell Yes: 0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays: $10,000 (100x)
Volume: $1K

Trade this on Polymarket

Polymarket

Contract: Yair Golan
Last price: 3.5%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 6.4¢
Sell Yes: 0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays: $1,563 (15.6x)
Volume: $305

Trade this on Polymarket

Eli Cohen

1.3%

3.3%

0.5¢ bid, 6¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

Not listed

0.3¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $33,333 (333x)

Eli Cohen

1.3%

Polymarket 0.3%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 1%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 3.3%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)

Polymarket

Contract: Eli Cohen
Last price: 0.3%
As of: Polled just now
Buy Yes: 0.3¢
Sell Yes: 0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays: $33,333 (333x)
Volume: $1K

Trade this on Polymarket

Polymarket

Contract: Eli Cohen
Last price: 1%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 1.7¢
Sell Yes: 0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays: $5,882 (58.8x)
Volume: $3K

Trade this on Polymarket

Polymarket

Contract: Eli Cohen
Last price: 3.3%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 6¢
Sell Yes: 0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays: $1,667 (16.7x)
Volume: $334

Trade this on Polymarket

Ofer Winter

1.2%

0.8¢ bid, 1.6¢ ask

polled, 15s ago

Not listed

1.6¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)

Ofer Winter

1.2%

Polymarket 1.2%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)

Polymarket

Contract: Ofer Winter
Last price: 1.2%
As of: Polled just now
Buy Yes: 1.6¢
Sell Yes: 0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays: $6,250 (62.5x)
Volume: $11K

Trade this on Polymarket

Moshe Feiglin

1.2%

0.2%

0.1¢ bid, 0.3¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

Not listed

0.3¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $33,333 (333x)

Moshe Feiglin

1.2%

Polymarket 1.6%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 0.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)

Polymarket

Contract: Moshe Feiglin
Last price: 1.6%
As of: Polled just now
Buy Yes: 2.9¢
Sell Yes: 0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays: $3,448 (34.5x)
Volume: $4K

Trade this on Polymarket

Polymarket

Contract: Moshe Feiglin
Last price: 0.2%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 0.3¢
Sell Yes: 0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays: $33,333 (333x)
Volume: $2K

Trade this on Polymarket

Itamar Ben Gvir

0.2¢ bid, 1.8¢ ask

polled, 15s ago

Not listed

1.8¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)

Itamar Ben Gvir

Polymarket 1%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)

Polymarket

Contract: Itamar Ben Gvir
Last price: 1%
As of: Polled just now
Buy Yes: 1.8¢
Sell Yes: 0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays: $5,556 (55.6x)
Volume: $3K

Trade this on Polymarket

Yair Lapid

0.7%

0.8%

0.4¢ bid, 1.2¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

Not listed

0.3¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $33,333 (333x)

Yair Lapid

0.7%

Polymarket 0.2%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 0.8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)

Polymarket

Contract: Yair Lapid
Last price: 0.2%
As of: Polled just now
Buy Yes: 0.3¢
Sell Yes: 0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays: $33,333 (333x)
Volume: $2K

Trade this on Polymarket

Polymarket

Contract: Yair Lapid
Last price: 0.8%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 1.2¢
Sell Yes: 0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays: $8,333 (83.3x)
Volume: $5K

Trade this on Polymarket

Benjamin Netanyahu

0.6%

0.5%

0.2¢ bid, 0.7¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

Not listed

0.7¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $14,286 (143x)

Benjamin Netanyahu

0.6%

Polymarket 0.8%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 0.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)

Polymarket

Contract: Benjamin Netanyahu
Last price: 0.8%
As of: Polled just now
Buy Yes: 1.4¢
Sell Yes: 0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays: $7,143 (71.4x)
Volume: $2K

Trade this on Polymarket

Polymarket

Contract: Benjamin Netanyahu
Last price: 0.5%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 0.7¢
Sell Yes: 0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays: $14,286 (143x)
Volume: $2K

Trade this on Polymarket

Hili Tropper

0.3%

0.1¢ bid, 0.4¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

Not listed

0.4¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $25,000 (250x)

Hili Tropper

0.3%

Polymarket 0.3%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)

Polymarket

Contract: Hili Tropper
Last price: 0.3%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 0.4¢
Sell Yes: 0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays: $25,000 (250x)
Volume: $2K

Trade this on Polymarket

Amir Ohana

0.2%

0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask

polled, 15s ago

Not listed

0.2¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $50,000 (500x)

Amir Ohana

0.2%

Polymarket 0.2%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)

Polymarket

Contract: Amir Ohana
Last price: 0.2%
As of: Polled just now
Buy Yes: 0.2¢
Sell Yes: 0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays: $50,000 (500x)
Volume: $1K

Trade this on Polymarket

Elazar Stern

0.2%

0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask

polled, 15s ago

Not listed

0.2¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $50,000 (500x)

Elazar Stern

0.2%

Polymarket 0.2%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)

Polymarket

Contract: Elazar Stern
Last price: 0.2%
As of: Polled just now
Buy Yes: 0.2¢
Sell Yes: 0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays: $50,000 (500x)
Volume: $2K

Trade this on Polymarket

Matan Kahana

0.2%

0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask

polled, 15s ago

Not listed

0.2¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $50,000 (500x)

Matan Kahana

0.2%

Polymarket 0.2%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)

Polymarket

Contract: Matan Kahana
Last price: 0.2%
As of: Polled just now
Buy Yes: 0.2¢
Sell Yes: 0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays: $50,000 (500x)
Volume: $2K

Trade this on Polymarket

Yoaz Hendel

0.2%

0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask

polled, 15s ago

Not listed

0.2¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $50,000 (500x)

Yoaz Hendel

0.2%

Polymarket 0.2%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)

Polymarket

Contract: Yoaz Hendel
Last price: 0.2%
As of: Polled just now
Buy Yes: 0.2¢
Sell Yes: 0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays: $50,000 (500x)
Volume: $1K

Trade this on Polymarket

Benny Gantz

0.1%

— bid, 0.1¢ ask

polled, 15s ago

Not listed

0.1¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)

Benny Gantz

0.1%

Polymarket 0.1%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)

Polymarket

Contract: Benny Gantz
Last price: 0.1%
As of: Polled just now
Buy Yes: 0.1¢
Sell Yes: —
$100 on Yes pays: $100,000 (1000x)
Volume: $4K

Trade this on Polymarket

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Orit Farkash-Hacohen on Polymarket at 1¢, sell on Kalshi at 3¢ (200 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

Trading closes at different times: Mar 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 27, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Polymarket resolves via:: UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi resolves via:: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Associated Press, Bloomberg News, Reuters

Show full rule comparison

Trading closes Mar 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 27, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

No Next Minister by Feb 28
Avigdor Lieberman
Michael Malchieli

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Outcome

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting

Best bid

—

Spread

—

Best ask

—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list No Next Minister by Feb 28 for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

Stake

Buy

Outcome to buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

Where to trade

Polymarket

Observed 15s ago

Volume: $213K
Liquidity: $94K
Outcomes listed: 19
Trading closes: Mar 1, 2027

Trade on Polymarket

Polymarket

Observed 2m ago

Volume: $166K
Liquidity: $142K
Outcomes listed: 16
Trading closes: Mar 1, 2027

Trade on Polymarket

Polymarket

Observed 2m ago

Volume: $36K
Liquidity: $37K
Outcomes listed: 18
Trading closes: Mar 1, 2027

Trade on Polymarket

Kalshi

Observed 15s ago

Volume: $1K
Liquidity: Not reported
Outcomes listed: 12
Trading closes: Oct 27, 2027

Trade on Kalshi

Paper trade

Practise on this market, risk-free

A free account gives you $1,000 of paper money to buy Yes or No at Kalshi and Polymarket's live prices, fees included, and track your results.

Sample

Simulated with paper money: orders fill in full at the venue's best price plus its taker fee; real orders this size could move the price. Not real money and not advice. Your portfolio

Big trades

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Cash paid by the taker, from each venue’s public trade feed. Refreshes every 30 s.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Who will be Israeli health minister after the election?". No Next Minister by Feb 28 leads at 32.8%. Next is Avigdor Lieberman at 27.6%. $416K has traded across 44 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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Who will be Israeli health minister after the election?

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What the markets expect

Odds by venue