The Prediction Markets

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?

Closed
Jun 30, 2026
Traded
$749K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Jun 30, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 159 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
No Announcement by June 30
49.7%
Polymarket 39.9%(49.7% fair)polled, 3828 h agoBest Yes 40.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $249 (2.49x)
Polymarket
Contract
No Announcement by June 30
Last price
39.9%
Fair, margin removed
49.7%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
40.1¢
Sell Yes
39.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$249 (2.49x)
Volume
$71K
Trade this on Polymarket
Todd Blanche
17.2%
Polymarket 13.9%(17.2% fair)polled, 3828 h agoBest Yes 17.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $571 (5.71x)
Polymarket
Contract
Todd Blanche
Last price
13.9%
Fair, margin removed
17.2%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
17.5¢
Sell Yes
10.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$571 (5.71x)
Volume
$107K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lee Zeldin
16.8%
Polymarket 13.5%(16.8% fair)polled, 3828 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lee Zeldin
Last price
13.5%
Fair, margin removed
16.8%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$183K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ron DeSantis
7.7%
Polymarket 6.2%(7.7% fair)polled, 3828 h agoBest Yes 7.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ron DeSantis
Last price
6.2%
Fair, margin removed
7.7%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
7.3¢
Sell Yes
5.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,370 (13.7x)
Volume
$35K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ken Paxton
4.9%
Polymarket 4%(4.9% fair)polled, 3828 h agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ken Paxton
Last price
4%
Fair, margin removed
4.9%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
4.4¢
Sell Yes
3.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,273 (22.7x)
Volume
$75K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jeanine Pirro
1.9%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 3828 h agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jeanine Pirro
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$49K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jay Clayton
0.7%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 3828 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jay Clayton
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$35K
Trade this on Polymarket
Mike Lee
0.6%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 3828 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mike Lee
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$47K
Trade this on Polymarket
Matt Gaetz
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3828 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matt Gaetz
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$28K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jay Clayton
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3828 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jeff Clark
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$34K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • No Announcement by June 30
  • Todd Blanche
  • Lee Zeldin

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?". No Announcement by June 30 last traded at 49.7%. Next is Todd Blanche at 17.2%. $749K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Jun 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Attorney General. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Attorney General will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Attorney General. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Attorney General will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Attorney General by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by June 30". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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