The Prediction Markets

Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

Closes
Nov 1, 2026, in 8 days
Traded
$539K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Amazon / AMZN 99%

Next is AMD at 99%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Amazon / AMZN
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 35s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Amazon / AMZN
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
AMD
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
AMD
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Argentina / Argentinian
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 35s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Argentina / Argentinian
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
86¢
Volume
$678
Trade this on Kalshi
Autism
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 35s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Autism
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Kalshi
CNN
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 35s ago
Kalshi
Contract
CNN
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$103
Trade this on Kalshi
Deere
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 35s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Deere
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Dell
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 35s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Dell
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Google / GOOG / GOOGL
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 35s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Google / GOOG / GOOGL
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$374
Trade this on Kalshi
IBM
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 35s ago
Kalshi
Contract
IBM
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Iceland / Icelandic
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 35s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Iceland / Icelandic
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$24K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 64 more outcomes
Intel / INTC
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 35s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Intel / INTC
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Meta
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 35s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Meta
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Micron / MU
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 35s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Micron / MU
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Microsoft / MSFT
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 35s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Microsoft / MSFT
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Nvidia / NVDA
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 35s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Nvidia / NVDA
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Paramount / PSKY
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 35s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Paramount / PSKY
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Predict / Prediction
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 35s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Predict / Prediction
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
SpaceX / SPCX
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 35s ago
Kalshi
Contract
SpaceX / SPCX
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tesla / TSLA
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 35s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Tesla / TSLA
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Uber
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 35s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Uber
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Cuba / Cuban
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cuba / Cuban
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$669
Trade this on Kalshi
UAE / United Arab Emirates
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
Contract
UAE / United Arab Emirates
Last price
72%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$358
Trade this on Kalshi
Australia / Australian
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Australia / Australian
Last price
68%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$721
Trade this on Kalshi
ChatGPT / OpenAI
63%
Kalshi 63%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
ChatGPT / OpenAI
Last price
63%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Panama / Panamanian
58%
Kalshi 58%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
Contract
Panama / Panamanian
Last price
58%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$561
Trade this on Kalshi
X / Twitter
58%
Kalshi 58%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
X / Twitter
Last price
58%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Honda / HMC
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
Contract
Honda / HMC
Last price
46%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$526
Trade this on Kalshi
Paraguay / Paraguayan
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
Contract
Paraguay / Paraguayan
Last price
43%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$548
Trade this on Kalshi
Anthropic / Claude
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
Contract
Anthropic / Claude
Last price
41%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Chevron / CVX
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chevron / CVX
Last price
41%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$712
Trade this on Kalshi
Kuwait / Kuwaiti
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kuwait / Kuwaiti
Last price
41%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$643
Trade this on Kalshi
BBC
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
Contract
BBC
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Volume
$477
Trade this on Kalshi
ExxonMobil / XOM
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
ExxonMobil / XOM
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$421
Trade this on Kalshi
Oracle / ORCL
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oracle / ORCL
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Andy Burnham
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Polymarket
Contract
Andy Burnham
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Antifa
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Antifa
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$951
Trade this on Kalshi
Mark Rutte
34%
Polymarket 34%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mark Rutte
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
31%
Polymarket 31%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Last price
31%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ahmed al-Sharaa
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ahmed al-Sharaa
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$66K
Trade this on Polymarket
Bahrain / Bahraini
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bahrain / Bahraini
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Fat shot / Ozempic
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fat shot / Ozempic
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$646
Trade this on Kalshi
Turning Point
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Turning Point
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
BlackRock
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
BlackRock
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$362
Trade this on Kalshi
Caterpillar
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
Caterpillar
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$446
Trade this on Kalshi
Lula da Silva
21.5%
Polymarket 21.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lula da Silva
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$23K
Trade this on Polymarket
DoorDash / DASH
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
DoorDash / DASH
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Golden Dome
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Golden Dome
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
JPMorgan / JPM
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
JPMorgan / JPM
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$136
Trade this on Kalshi
Netflix / NFLX
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Netflix / NFLX
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$265
Trade this on Kalshi
South Africa / South African
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
South Africa / South African
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
UFO / UAP
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
UFO / UAP
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$521
Trade this on Kalshi
Mastercard / MA
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mastercard / MA
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Hungary / Hungarian
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hungary / Hungarian
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$565
Trade this on Kalshi
Peace in the Middle East
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Peace in the Middle East
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Epstein
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Epstein
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Airbnb / ABNB
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Airbnb / ABNB
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$486
Trade this on Kalshi
Belgium / Belgian
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Belgium / Belgian
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Pope Leo XIV
11.4%
Polymarket 11.4%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 16.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $595 (5.95x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pope Leo XIV
Last price
11.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16.8¢
Sell Yes
5.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$595 (5.95x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Peptide
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Peptide
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Qualcomm / QCOM
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Qualcomm / QCOM
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$106
Trade this on Kalshi
Sudan / Sudanese
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sudan / Sudanese
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Verizon
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Verizon
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$193
Trade this on Kalshi
Make Iran Great Again
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Make Iran Great Again
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Rigetti / RGTI
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rigetti / RGTI
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$787
Trade this on Kalshi
Xi Jinping
4.9%
Polymarket 4.9%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Xi Jinping
Last price
4.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.8¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,471 (14.7x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jamaica / Jamaican
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jamaica / Jamaican
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$129
Trade this on Kalshi
Miguel Díaz-Canel
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 5.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miguel Díaz-Canel
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.1¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,961 (19.6x)
Volume
$675
Trade this on Polymarket
Maria Corina Machado
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Maria Corina Machado
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kim Jong Un
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 3.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kim Jong Un
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.3¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,030 (30.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Masoud Pezeshkian
1.8%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Masoud Pezeshkian
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Reza Pahlavi
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 2.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Reza Pahlavi
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.6¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,846 (38.5x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Yoon Suk Yeol
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yoon Suk Yeol
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Volume
$343
Trade this on Polymarket
Nicolás Maduro
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nicolás Maduro
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$309
Trade this on Polymarket
Mojtaba Khamenei
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mojtaba Khamenei
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$532
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Amazon / AMZN
  • AMD
  • Argentina / Argentinian

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Amazon / AMZN for this event.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Who will Trump speak to by October 31?". Amazon / AMZN leads at 99%. Next is AMD at 99%. $539K has traded across 74 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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