The Prediction Markets

Who will Trump speak to in May?

Closed
May 31, 2026
Traded
$849K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on May 31, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 159 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Mark Rutte
42%
Polymarket 42%polled, 3826 h agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mark Rutte
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Vladimir Putin
40.5%
Polymarket 40.5%polled, 3826 h agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Vladimir Putin
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$34K
Trade this on Polymarket
Emmanuel Macron
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 3826 h agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
Emmanuel Macron
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$25K
Trade this on Polymarket
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
36%
Polymarket 36%polled, 3826 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Last price
36%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$28K
Trade this on Polymarket
Keir Starmer
27.5%
Polymarket 27.5%polled, 3826 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
Keir Starmer
Last price
27.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Polymarket
Mark Carney
24.5%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, 3826 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mark Carney
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Pope Leo XIV
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 3826 h agoBest Yes 9.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,031 (10.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pope Leo XIV
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
9.7¢
Sell Yes
5.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,031 (10.3x)
Volume
$22K
Trade this on Polymarket
Maria Corina Machado
6.8%
Polymarket 6.8%polled, 3826 h agoBest Yes 7.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,389 (13.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Maria Corina Machado
Last price
6.8%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
7.2¢
Sell Yes
6.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,389 (13.9x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ahmed al-Sharaa
6.3%
Polymarket 6.3%polled, 3826 h agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ahmed al-Sharaa
Last price
6.3%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
6.7¢
Sell Yes
5.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,493 (14.9x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Reza Pahlavi
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 3826 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Reza Pahlavi
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
3.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$19K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 4 more outcomes
Kim Jong Un
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 3826 h agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kim Jong Un
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
3.1¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,226 (32.3x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Polymarket
Masoud Pezeshkian
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 3826 h agoBest Yes 3.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Masoud Pezeshkian
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
3.4¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,941 (29.4x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Polymarket
Nicolás Maduro
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 3826 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nicolás Maduro
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$28K
Trade this on Polymarket
Yoon Suk Yeol
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 3826 h agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yoon Suk Yeol
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Mark Rutte
  • Vladimir Putin
  • Emmanuel Macron

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Who will Trump speak to in May?". Mark Rutte last traded at 42%. Next is Vladimir Putin at 40.5%. $849K has traded across 14 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on May 31, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. If the date/time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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