The Prediction Markets

Who will Trump talk to in April?

Closed
Apr 30, 2026
Traded
$1.6M
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Apr 30, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 176 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Ursula von der Leyen
86.8%
Polymarket 100%(86.8% fair)polled, 4231 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Ursula von der Leyen
Last price
100%
Fair, margin removed
86.8%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$864K
Trade this on Polymarket
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
4.6%
Polymarket 5.3%(4.6% fair)polled, 4231 h agoBest Yes 9.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,087 (10.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Last price
5.3%
Fair, margin removed
4.6%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
9.2¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,087 (10.9x)
Volume
$26K
Trade this on Polymarket
Elon Musk
2.8%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 4231 h agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Elon Musk
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
Xi Jinping
1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 4231 h agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Xi Jinping
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$38K
Trade this on Polymarket
Maria Corina Machado
0.9%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 4231 h agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Maria Corina Machado
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ahmed al-Sharaa
0.8%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 4231 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ahmed al-Sharaa
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Masoud Pezeshkian
0.8%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 4231 h agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Masoud Pezeshkian
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lula da Silva
0.7%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 4231 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lula da Silva
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Pope Leo XIV
0.5%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 4231 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pope Leo XIV
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Reza Pahlavi
0.5%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 4231 h agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
Reza Pahlavi
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 3 more outcomes
Nicolás Maduro
0.3%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 4231 h agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nicolás Maduro
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Polymarket
Yoon Suk Yeol
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 4231 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yoon Suk Yeol
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$32K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kim Jong Un
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 4231 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kim Jong Un
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Ursula von der Leyen
  • Volodymyr Zelenskyy
  • Elon Musk

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Who will Trump talk to in April?". Ursula von der Leyen last traded at 86.8%. Next is Volodymyr Zelenskyy at 4.6%. $1.6M has traded across 13 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 30, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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