The Prediction Markets

Will Trump sign an executive order on...?

Closed
May 31, 2026
Traded
$46K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on May 31, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 159 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
May 30
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 3824 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
May 30
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Polymarket
May 31
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 3824 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
May 31
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Polymarket
May 21
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 3824 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
May 21
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Polymarket
May 25
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 3824 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
May 25
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Polymarket
May 20
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 3824 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
May 20
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
May 27
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 3824 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
May 27
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
May 19
48%
Polymarket 48%polled, 3824 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
May 19
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Trade this on Polymarket
May 23
45%
Polymarket 45%polled, 3824 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
May 23
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$43
Trade this on Polymarket
May 22
42.5%
Polymarket 42.5%polled, 3824 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
May 22
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Trade this on Polymarket
May 24
42%
Polymarket 42%polled, 3824 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
May 24
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 15 more outcomes
May 26
42%
Polymarket 42%polled, 3824 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
May 26
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Trade this on Polymarket
May 28
42%
Polymarket 42%polled, 3824 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
May 28
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Trade this on Polymarket
May 29
42%
Polymarket 42%polled, 3824 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
May 29
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Trade this on Polymarket
May 10
41.3%
Polymarket 41.3%polled, 3824 h agoBest Yes 79.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $126 (1.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
May 10
Last price
41.3%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
79.3¢
Sell Yes
3.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$126 (1.26x)
Volume
$784
Trade this on Polymarket
May 18
13.4%
Polymarket 13.4%polled, 3824 h agoBest Yes 14.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $685 (6.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
May 18
Last price
13.4%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
14.6¢
Sell Yes
12.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$685 (6.85x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
May 12
4.3%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 3824 h agoBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
May 12
Last price
4.3%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
7.9¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,266 (12.7x)
Volume
$913
Trade this on Polymarket
May 17
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 3824 h agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
May 17
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
3.9¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,564 (25.6x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
May 16
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 3824 h agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
May 16
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$773
Trade this on Polymarket
May 8
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 3824 h agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
May 8
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
May 13
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 3824 h agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
May 13
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
May 14
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 3824 h agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
May 14
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
May 7
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 3824 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
May 7
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$22K
Trade this on Polymarket
May 9
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 3824 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
May 9
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
May 11
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 3824 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
May 11
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
May 15
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3824 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
May 15
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$694
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • May 30
  • May 31
  • May 21

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Will Trump sign an executive order on...?". May 30 last traded at 49.5%. Next is May 31 at 49.5%. $46K has traded across 25 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on May 31, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the specified calendar date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal executive orders will qualify; other executive actions will not qualify. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”. In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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