The Prediction Markets

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on October 23?

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$13K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

95 98.5%

Next is 94 at 98.2%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
95
98.5%
Polymarket 98.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
95
Last price
98.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
97.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$250
Trade this on Polymarket
94
98.2%
Polymarket 98.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
94
Last price
98.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
96.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$98
Trade this on Polymarket
96
97.4%
Polymarket 97.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
96
Last price
97.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98.5¢
Sell Yes
96.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
97
95.4%
Polymarket 95.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
97
Last price
95.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
93.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
98
93%
Polymarket 93%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
98
Last price
93%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
92¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
99
80.5%
Polymarket 80.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 84¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Polymarket
Contract
99
Last price
80.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
100
66%
Polymarket 66%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
100
Last price
66%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$579
Trade this on Polymarket
101
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
101
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$388
Trade this on Polymarket
102
33.5%
Polymarket 33.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
102
Last price
33.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$860
Trade this on Polymarket
103
18%
Polymarket 18%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
103
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$195
Trade this on Polymarket
104
8.9%
Polymarket 8.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
104
Last price
8.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
5.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$916
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: app.pyth.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 95
  • 94
  • 96

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on October 23?". 95 leads at 98.5%. Next is 94 at 98.2%. $13K has traded across 11 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on October 23?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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