The Prediction Markets

#1 song on US Spotify this week? (March 27)

Closed
Mar 27, 2026
Traded
$44K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Mar 27, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 209 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Babydoll - Dominic Fike
99.5%
Polymarket 100%polled, 5033 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Babydoll - Dominic Fike
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 209 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Polymarket
American Girls - Harry Styles
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5033 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
American Girls - Harry Styles
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 209 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5033 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 209 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
DtMF - Bad Bunny
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5033 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
DtMF - Bad Bunny
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 209 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
E85 - Don Toliver
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5033 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
E85 - Don Toliver
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 209 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
iloveitiloveitiloveit - Bella Kay
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5033 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
iloveitiloveitiloveit - Bella Kay
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 209 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lemon Pound Cake - Afroman
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5033 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lemon Pound Cake - Afroman
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 209 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Man I Need - Olivia Dean
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5033 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Man I Need - Olivia Dean
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 209 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Porch Light - Noah Kahan
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5033 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Porch Light - Noah Kahan
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 209 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Risk It All - Bruno Mars
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5033 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Risk It All - Bruno Mars
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 209 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5033 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 209 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
SWIM - BTS
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5033 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
SWIM - BTS
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 209 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Babydoll - Dominic Fike
  • American Girls - Harry Styles
  • Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "#1 song on US Spotify this week? (March 27)". Babydoll - Dominic Fike last traded at 99.5%. Next is American Girls - Harry Styles at 0.1%. $44K has traded across 12 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Mar 27, 2026.

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled March 27. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled March 27 by March 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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