The Prediction Markets

2026 Grammy nominations for Album of the Year?

Closes
Nov 1, 2027, in 12 months
Traded
$92K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love 94%

Next is The Art of Loving at 93%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love
Last price
94%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
94¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
The Art of Loving
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Art of Loving
Last price
93%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$441
Trade this on Kalshi
Lux
91%
Kalshi 91%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lux
Last price
91%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
The Romantic
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Romantic
Last price
89%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
This Music May Contain Hope
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
Contract
This Music May Contain Hope
Last price
81%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$132
Trade this on Kalshi
The Great Divide
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Great Divide
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
The Life of a Showgirl
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Life of a Showgirl
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Dandelion (Ella Langley)
65.5%
Polymarket 65.5%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dandelion (Ella Langley)
Last price
65.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Dandelion
64%
Kalshi 64%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dandelion
Last price
64%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Kalshi
Lost Weekend
58%
Kalshi 58%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lost Weekend
Last price
58%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 23 more outcomes
Confessions II
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Confessions II
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Octane
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Octane
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
petal
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
petal
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally
Last price
27%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
The Way I Am (Luke Combs)
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Way I Am (Luke Combs)
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Deadbeat
15.5%
Kalshi 15.5%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Deadbeat
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
The Boys of Dungeon Lane
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Boys of Dungeon Lane
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$900
Trade this on Kalshi
West End Girl
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
West End Girl
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$447
Trade this on Kalshi
The Visitor
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Visitor
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
WOR$T GIRL IN AMERICA
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
WOR$T GIRL IN AMERICA
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$216
Trade this on Kalshi
Middle of Nowhere
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Middle of Nowhere
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Daughter From Hell
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Daughter From Hell
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Music, Fashion, Film
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Music, Fashion, Film
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
A*Pop
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
A*Pop
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Cloud 9
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cloud 9
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Oh Yeah?:: Steve Lacy
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oh Yeah?:: Steve Lacy
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Swag II
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Swag II
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Vie
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Vie
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Parker McCollum (Parker McCollum)
4.4%
Polymarket 4.4%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 7.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,333 (13.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Parker McCollum (Parker McCollum)
Last price
4.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.5¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,333 (13.3x)
Volume
$621
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceman
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Iceman
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ain't in It for My Health (Zach Top)
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ain't in It for My Health (Zach Top)
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.2¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,923 (19.2x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Middle of Nowhere (Kacey Musgraves)
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Middle of Nowhere (Kacey Musgraves)
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Volume
$320
Trade this on Polymarket
Arirang
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arirang
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: cmaawards.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Recording Academy

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love
  • The Art of Loving
  • Lux

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "2026 Grammy nominations for Album of the Year?". you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love leads at 94%. Next is The Art of Loving at 93%. $92K has traded across 33 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 1, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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