Home🤖ai_techBest AI at the end of 2026?
Live marketEnds Dec 31, 2026 (8mo)Updated 14m ago

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Live prediction market odds for "Best AI at the end of 2026?". Claude is leading at 59.5%. The next most likely outcome is Gemini at 24.0%. Total volume is $2.5M across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Claude
59.5%
Total Vol
$2.5M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Claude
$627K volume
59.5%
Gemini
$461K volume
24.0%
ChatGPT
$492K volume
10.8%
Grok
$396K volume
8.2%
LLaMA
$207K volume
1.4%
Qwen
$194K volume
0.9%
Ernie
$92K volume
0.3%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Best AI at the end of 2026?". Claude is leading at 59.5%. The next most likely outcome is Gemini at 24.0%. Total volume is $2.5M across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Dec 31, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

bullish

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

81%
Confidence
High confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.448 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 45 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
81%
Label
bullish
Bull/Bear
3.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
81%
Label
bullish
Bullish %
30%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
209h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
81%
Label
bullish
Bullish %
30%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
209h
Avg Sentiment
+0.100
Neutral %
70%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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