Current Status
Live
Leading Outcome
Fed maintains rate 84.0%
V2 BetaOptimized UI
Trade NowLive marketEnds Oct 28, 2026 (19d)Updated 18h ago
Fed decision in Oct 2026?
Live prediction market odds for "Fed decision in Oct 2026?". Fed maintains rate is leading at 84.0%. The next most likely outcome is Hike 25bps at 16.0%. Total volume is $8.4M across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Oct 28, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Fed maintains rate
84.0%
Total Vol
$8.4M
Across 1 venues
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
Arb opportunity
Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Fed maintains rate
$3.7M volume
84.0%
—
Hike 25bps
$2.6M volume
16.0%
—
Cut 25bps
$228K volume
1.0%
—
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Fed decision in Oct 2026?". Fed maintains rate is leading at 84.0%. The next most likely outcome is Hike 25bps at 16.0%. Total volume is $8.4M across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Oct 28, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Oct 28, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Matching labels identify likely equivalent outcomes, but settlement rules may differ. A “Rules unverified” label means the comparison is not a verified arbitrage opportunity.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
unavailableConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score — from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Sources
0
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.
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