
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Live prediction market odds for "When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?". Before Jul 1, 2028 is leading at 68.0%. The next most likely outcome is Before Jan 1, 2029 at 64.0%. Total volume is $37.2M across 11 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi, Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Current Odds
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?". Before Jul 1, 2028 is leading at 68.0%. The next most likely outcome is Before Jan 1, 2029 at 64.0%. Total volume is $37.2M across 11 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi, Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2027.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Matching labels identify likely equivalent outcomes, but settlement rules may differ. A “Rules unverified” label means the comparison is not a verified arbitrage opportunity.
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News Sentiment Signal
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