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What the markets expect
Jack Lowden 61%
Next is Callum Turner at 32%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
3 of 31 prices are live from the exchange feeds; the rest come from our regular price polls, the oldest 56 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Jack Lowden61%61%58¢ bid, 61¢ asklive, 56 min ago61¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $164 (1.64x)Jack Lowden61%Kalshi 61%live, 56 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Jack Lowden
61%
61%
58¢ bid, 61¢ ask
live, 56 min ago
61¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Jack Lowden
61%
Kalshi 61%live, 56 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jack Lowden
- Price
- 61%
- As of
- Live feed, 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 58¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
- Volume
- $217K
Callum Turner32%32%31¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 56 min ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Callum Turner32%Kalshi 32%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Callum Turner
32%
32%
31¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Callum Turner
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Callum Turner
- Last price
- 32%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $604K
Josh O'Connor24%24%22¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 56 min ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Josh O'Connor24%Kalshi 24%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Josh O'Connor
24%
24%
22¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Josh O'Connor
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Josh O'Connor
- Last price
- 24%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $143K
Jack Barton8%8%8¢ bid, 9¢ asklive, 56 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Jack Barton8%Kalshi 8%live, 56 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Jack Barton
8%
8%
8¢ bid, 9¢ ask
live, 56 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Jack Barton
8%
Kalshi 8%live, 56 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jack Barton
- Price
- 8%
- As of
- Live feed, 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $52K
Josh O'ConnorKalshi: “Jack O'Connell”8%8%4¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 56 min ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Josh O'Connor8%Kalshi 8%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Josh O'Connor
Kalshi: “Jack O'Connell”
8%
8%
4¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Josh O'Connor
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jack O'Connell
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $35K
Aaron Taylor-Johnson5%5%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 56 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Aaron Taylor-Johnson5%Kalshi 5%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
5%
5%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aaron Taylor-Johnson
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $291K
Damson Idris4%4%2¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 56 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Damson Idris4%Kalshi 4%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Damson Idris
4%
4%
2¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Damson Idris
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Damson Idris
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $54K
Jacob Elordi4%4%4¢ bid, 5¢ asklive, 56 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Jacob Elordi4%Kalshi 4%live, 56 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Jacob Elordi
4%
4%
4¢ bid, 5¢ ask
live, 56 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Jacob Elordi
4%
Kalshi 4%live, 56 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jacob Elordi
- Price
- 4%
- As of
- Live feed, 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $323K
Scott Rose-Marsh4%4%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 56 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Scott Rose-Marsh4%Kalshi 4%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Scott Rose-Marsh
4%
4%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Scott Rose-Marsh
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Scott Rose-Marsh
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $17K
Aaron Pierre3%3%1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 56 min ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Aaron Pierre3%Kalshi 3%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Aaron Pierre
3%
3%
1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Aaron Pierre
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aaron Pierre
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $42K
Show 21 more outcomesHide 21 outcomes
Charlie Hunnam3%3%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 56 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Charlie Hunnam3%Kalshi 3%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Charlie Hunnam
3%
3%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Charlie Hunnam
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Charlie Hunnam
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $22K
George MacKay3%3%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 56 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)George MacKay3%Kalshi 3%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
George MacKay
3%
3%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
George MacKay
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- George MacKay
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $11K
Henry Cavill3%3%2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 56 min ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Henry Cavill3%Kalshi 3%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Henry Cavill
3%
3%
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Henry Cavill
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Henry Cavill
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $113K
Idris Elba3%3%1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 56 min ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Idris Elba3%Kalshi 3%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Idris Elba
3%
3%
1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Idris Elba
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Idris Elba
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $79K
Paul Mescal3%3%2¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 56 min ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Paul Mescal3%Kalshi 3%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Paul Mescal
3%
3%
2¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Paul Mescal
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Paul Mescal
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $14K
Richard Madden3%3%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 56 min ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Richard Madden3%Kalshi 3%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Richard Madden
3%
3%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Richard Madden
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Richard Madden
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $26K
Tom Holland3%3%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 56 min ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Tom Holland3%Kalshi 3%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Tom Holland
3%
3%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Tom Holland
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tom Holland
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $85K
Harris Dickinson2%2%2¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 56 min ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Harris Dickinson2%Kalshi 2%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Harris Dickinson
2%
2%
2¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Harris Dickinson
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Harris Dickinson
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $121K
Henry Ashton2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 56 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Henry Ashton2%Kalshi 2%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Henry Ashton
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Henry Ashton
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Henry Ashton
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $12K
Nicholas Hoult2%2%2¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 56 min ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Nicholas Hoult2%Kalshi 2%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Nicholas Hoult
2%
2%
2¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Nicholas Hoult
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nicholas Hoult
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
- Volume
- $30K
Robert Pattinson2%2%2¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 56 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Robert Pattinson2%Kalshi 2%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Robert Pattinson
2%
2%
2¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Robert Pattinson
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Robert Pattinson
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $15K
Theo James2%2%2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 56 min ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Theo James2%Kalshi 2%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Theo James
2%
2%
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Theo James
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Theo James
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $94K
Tom Blyth2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 56 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Tom Blyth2%Kalshi 2%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Tom Blyth
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Tom Blyth
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tom Blyth
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $16K
Tom Francis2%2%2¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 56 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Tom Francis2%Kalshi 2%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Tom Francis
2%
2%
2¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Tom Francis
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tom Francis
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $52K
Cillian Murphy1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 56 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Cillian Murphy1%Kalshi 1%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cillian Murphy
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cillian Murphy
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cillian Murphy
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $30K
James Norton1%1%1¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 56 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)James Norton1%Kalshi 1%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
James Norton
1%
1%
1¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
James Norton
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- James Norton
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $43K
Jonathan Bailey1%1%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 56 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Jonathan Bailey1%Kalshi 1%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Jonathan Bailey
1%
1%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Jonathan Bailey
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jonathan Bailey
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $26K
Nicholas Galitzine1%1%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 56 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Nicholas Galitzine1%Kalshi 1%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Nicholas Galitzine
1%
1%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Nicholas Galitzine
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nicholas Galitzine
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $965
Regé-Jean Page1%1%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 56 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Regé-Jean Page1%Kalshi 1%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Regé-Jean Page
1%
1%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Regé-Jean Page
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Regé-Jean Page
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $24K
Tom Hardy1%1%1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 56 min ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Tom Hardy1%Kalshi 1%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Tom Hardy
1%
1%
1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Tom Hardy
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tom Hardy
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $23K
Luke Evans0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 56 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Luke Evans0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Luke Evans
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Luke Evans
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Luke Evans
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Variety
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Jack Lowden
- Callum Turner
- Josh O'Connor
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Who will be the next James Bond?". Jack Lowden leads at 61%. Next is Callum Turner at 32%. $2.6M has traded across 31 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2030.
Kalshi event status: open
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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