This market has closed
Trading ended on Apr 9, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 196 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)99.7%100%99.9¢ bid, — askpolled, 4722 h agoNo ask1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)99.7%Polymarket 100%polled, 4722 h ago
- Contract
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)
- Last price
- 100%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99.9¢
- Volume
- $4K
1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)Polymarket: “1. FSV Mainz 05 (-2.5)”0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4722 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4722 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-2.5)
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $3K
Both Teams to Score0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4722 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Both Teams to Score0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4722 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Both Teams to Score
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $11K
O/U 2.50.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4722 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)O/U 2.50.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4722 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- O/U 2.5
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $88K
O/U 3.50%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4722 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)O/U 3.50%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4722 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- O/U 3.5
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $21K
O/U 4.50%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4722 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)O/U 4.50%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4722 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- O/U 4.5
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $5K
RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4722 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4722 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $957
RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4722 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4722 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $188
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:

- UMA optimistic oracle, source: uefa.com
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)
- Both Teams to Score
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace - More Markets". 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5) last traded at 99.7%. Next is 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5) at 0.1%. $142K has traded across 8 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 9, 2026.
More markets for the UEFA Europa Conference League game, scheduled for April 9 at 3:00 PM ET.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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