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What the markets expect
Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA 56%
Next is Beauty and a Beat at 51%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 8 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA56%56%55¢ bid, 57¢ askpolled, 8 h agoNot listed57¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $175 (1.75x)Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA56%Polymarket 56%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA
56%
56%
55¢ bid, 57¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
Not listed
57¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA
56%
Polymarket 56%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA
- Last price
- 56%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 57¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $175 (1.75x)
- Volume
- $335
Beauty and a Beat51%Not listed67%65¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 8 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Beauty and a Beat51%Kalshi 3%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 67%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Beauty and a Beat
51%
Not listed
67%
65¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Beauty and a Beat
51%
Kalshi 3%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 67%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Beauty and a Beat
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $520
Kalshi
- Contract
- Beauty and a Beat
- Last price
- 67%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 65¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
- Volume
- $2K
Babydoll44%Not listed6%1¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 8 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Babydoll44%Kalshi 2%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 84%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 6%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Babydoll
44%
Not listed
6%
1¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Babydoll
44%
Kalshi 2%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 84%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 6%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Babydoll
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Babydoll
- Last price
- 84%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 85¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $118 (1.18x)
- Volume
- $15K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Babydoll
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $2K
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley38.5%38.5%38¢ bid, 39¢ askpolled, 8 h agoNot listed39¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $256 (2.56x)Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley38.5%Polymarket 38.5%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
38.5%
38.5%
38¢ bid, 39¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
Not listed
39¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
- Last price
- 38.5%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 39¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $256 (2.56x)
- Volume
- $85
Man I Need34.3%Not listed4%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 8 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Man I Need34.3%Kalshi 66%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 4%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Man I Need
34.3%
Not listed
4%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Man I Need
34.3%
Kalshi 66%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 4%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Man I Need
- Last price
- 66%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 68¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $147 (1.47x)
- Volume
- $16K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Man I Need
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $153
Kalshi
- Contract
- Man I Need
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Earrings21.3%Not listed2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 8 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Earrings21.3%Kalshi 40%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Earrings
21.3%
Not listed
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Earrings
21.3%
Kalshi 40%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Earrings
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
- Volume
- $38K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Earrings
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
SWIM8.2%Not listed10%1¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 8 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)SWIM8.2%Kalshi 3%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 10%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
SWIM
8.2%
Not listed
10%
1¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
SWIM
8.2%
Kalshi 3%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 10%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- SWIM
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $59
Kalshi
- Contract
- SWIM
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $1K
End of Beginning6%Not listed1%1¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 8 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)End of Beginning6%Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 11%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
End of Beginning
6%
Not listed
1%
1¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
End of Beginning
6%
Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 11%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- End of Beginning
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $763
Kalshi
- Contract
- End of Beginning
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $11K
Kalshi
- Contract
- End of Beginning
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $880
Billie Jean3.4%Not listed5%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 8 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Billie Jean3.4%Kalshi 2%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 5%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Billie Jean
3.4%
Not listed
5%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Billie Jean
3.4%
Kalshi 2%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 5%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Billie Jean
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $983
Kalshi
- Contract
- Billie Jean
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $832
the cure3%Not listed4%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 8 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)the cure3%Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 4%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
the cure
3%
Not listed
4%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
the cure
3%
Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 4%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- the cure
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $50
Kalshi
- Contract
- the cure
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $107
Show 28 more outcomesHide 28 outcomes
expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan2.6%2.6%0.3¢ bid, 4.9¢ askpolled, 8 h agoNot listed4.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan2.6%Polymarket 2.6%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan
2.6%
2.6%
0.3¢ bid, 4.9¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
Not listed
4.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan
- Last price
- 2.6%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
- Volume
- $30
Earrings - Malcolm Todd2.6%2.6%0.3¢ bid, 4.8¢ askpolled, 8 h agoNot listed4.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)Earrings - Malcolm Todd2.6%Polymarket 2.6%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Earrings - Malcolm Todd
2.6%
2.6%
0.3¢ bid, 4.8¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
Not listed
4.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Earrings - Malcolm Todd
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Earrings - Malcolm Todd
- Last price
- 2.6%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,083 (20.8x)
- Volume
- $258
Housewife - Tate McRae2.5%2.5%0.2¢ bid, 4.8¢ askpolled, 8 h agoNot listed4.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)Housewife - Tate McRae2.5%Polymarket 2.5%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Housewife - Tate McRae
2.5%
2.5%
0.2¢ bid, 4.8¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
Not listed
4.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Housewife - Tate McRae
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Housewife - Tate McRae
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,083 (20.8x)
- Volume
- $271
stupid2.5%Not listed2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 8 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)stupid2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
stupid
2.5%
Not listed
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
stupid
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- stupid
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
stupid song - Olivia Rodrigo2.5%2.5%0.2¢ bid, 4.8¢ askpolled, 8 h agoNot listed4.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)stupid song - Olivia Rodrigo2.5%Polymarket 2.5%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
stupid song - Olivia Rodrigo
2.5%
2.5%
0.2¢ bid, 4.8¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
Not listed
4.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
stupid song - Olivia Rodrigo
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- stupid song - Olivia Rodrigo
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,083 (20.8x)
- Volume
- $258
the cure - Olivia Rodrigo2.5%2.5%0.2¢ bid, 4.8¢ askpolled, 8 h agoNot listed4.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)the cure - Olivia Rodrigo2.5%Polymarket 2.5%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
the cure - Olivia Rodrigo
2.5%
2.5%
0.2¢ bid, 4.8¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
Not listed
4.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
the cure - Olivia Rodrigo
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- the cure - Olivia Rodrigo
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,083 (20.8x)
- Volume
- $258
DtMF2.3%Not listed4%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 8 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)DtMF2.3%Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 4%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
DtMF
2.3%
Not listed
4%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
DtMF
2.3%
Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 4%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- DtMF
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Kalshi
- Contract
- DtMF
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- DtMF
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
The Fate of Ophelia2%Not listed2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 8 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)The Fate of Ophelia2%Kalshi 2%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
The Fate of Ophelia
2%
Not listed
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
The Fate of Ophelia
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- The Fate of Ophelia
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
drop dead1.8%Not listed2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 8 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)drop dead1.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
drop dead
1.8%
Not listed
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
drop dead
1.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- drop dead
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $50
Kalshi
- Contract
- drop dead
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
hate that i made you love me1.8%Not listed2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 8 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)hate that i made you love me1.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
hate that i made you love me
1.8%
Not listed
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
hate that i made you love me
1.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- hate that i made you love me
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $60
Kalshi
- Contract
- hate that i made you love me
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Self Aware1.8%Not listed2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 8 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Self Aware1.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Self Aware
1.8%
Not listed
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Self Aware
1.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Self Aware
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $50
Kalshi
- Contract
- Self Aware
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
luther (with sza)1.7%Not listed2%1¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 8 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)luther (with sza)1.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
luther (with sza)
1.7%
Not listed
2%
1¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
luther (with sza)
1.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- luther (with sza)
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $82
Kalshi
- Contract
- luther (with sza)
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $2K
Don’t Say You Love Me1.6%Not listed2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 8 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Don’t Say You Love Me1.6%Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Don’t Say You Love Me
1.6%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Don’t Say You Love Me
1.6%
Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Don’t Say You Love Me
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $295
Kalshi
- Contract
- Don’t Say You Love Me
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $192
Kalshi
- Contract
- Don’t Say You Love Me
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $214
Ordinary1.5%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 8 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Ordinary1.5%Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 3%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ordinary
1.5%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ordinary
1.5%
Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 3%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ordinary
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ordinary
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $312
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ordinary
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $110
back to friends1.5%Not listed2%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 8 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)back to friends1.5%Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
back to friends
1.5%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
back to friends
1.5%
Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- back to friends
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $480
Kalshi
- Contract
- back to friends
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $102
Kalshi
- Contract
- back to friends
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $3K
BIRDS OF A FEATHER1.5%Not listed3%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 8 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)BIRDS OF A FEATHER1.5%Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 3%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
BIRDS OF A FEATHER
1.5%
Not listed
3%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
BIRDS OF A FEATHER
1.5%
Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 3%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- BIRDS OF A FEATHER
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $313
Kalshi
- Contract
- BIRDS OF A FEATHER
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- BIRDS OF A FEATHER
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $198
So Easy (To Fall in Love)1.5%Not listed2%1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 8 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)So Easy (To Fall in Love)1.5%Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
So Easy (To Fall in Love)
1.5%
Not listed
2%
1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
So Easy (To Fall in Love)
1.5%
Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- So Easy (To Fall in Love)
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $52
Kalshi
- Contract
- So Easy (To Fall In Love)
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Manchild1.4%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 8 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Manchild1.4%Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Manchild
1.4%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Manchild
1.4%
Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Manchild
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $338
Kalshi
- Contract
- Manchild
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $407
Kalshi
- Contract
- Manchild
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $127
Your Idol1.4%Not listed2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 8 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Your Idol1.4%Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Your Idol
1.4%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Your Idol
1.4%
Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Your Idol
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $398
Kalshi
- Contract
- Your Idol
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $113
Kalshi
- Contract
- Your Idol
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $380
APT.1.3%Not listed1%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 8 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)APT.1.3%Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
APT.
1.3%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
APT.
1.3%
Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- APT.
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $319
Kalshi
- Contract
- APT.
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $137
Kalshi
- Contract
- APT.
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $335
Die With A Smile1%Not listed1%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 8 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Die With A Smile1%Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Die With A Smile
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Die With A Smile
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Die With A Smile
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $582
Kalshi
- Contract
- Die With A Smile
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $221
Kalshi
- Contract
- Die With A Smile
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $337
Golden1%Not listed1%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 8 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Golden1%Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Golden
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Golden
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $724
iloveitiloveitiloveit1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 8 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)iloveitiloveitiloveit1%Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
iloveitiloveitiloveit
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
iloveitiloveitiloveit
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- iloveitiloveitiloveit
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $50
Soda Pop1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 8 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Soda Pop1%Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Soda Pop
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Soda Pop
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Soda Pop
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $377
Kalshi
- Contract
- Soda Pop
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $109
Kalshi
- Contract
- Soda Pop
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $159
stupid song1%Not listed1%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 8 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)stupid song1%Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
stupid song
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
stupid song
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- stupid song
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $50
Timeless (feat Playboi Carti)1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 8 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Timeless (feat Playboi Carti)1%Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Timeless (feat Playboi Carti)
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Timeless (feat Playboi Carti)
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Timeless (feat Playboi Carti)
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $77
Raindance (feat. Tems)1%Not listed1%1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 8 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Raindance (feat. Tems)1%Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Raindance (feat. Tems)
1%
Not listed
1%
1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Raindance (feat. Tems)
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Raindance (feat. Tems)
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $50
Kalshi
- Contract
- Raindance (feat. Tems)
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $1
Stateside + Zara Larsson1%Not listed1%1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 8 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Stateside + Zara Larsson1%Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Stateside + Zara Larsson
1%
Not listed
1%
1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 8 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Stateside + Zara Larsson
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 8 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Stateside + Zara Larsson
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $53
Kalshi
- Contract
- Stateside + Zara Larsson
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $78
Kalshi
- Contract
- Stateside + Zara Larsson
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 8 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $2
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: open.spotify.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Spotify
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA
- Beauty and a Beat
- Babydoll
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "#2 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 30)". Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA leads at 56%. Next is Beauty and a Beat at 51%. $124K has traded across 38 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 31, 2026.
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs in the U.S. and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the second most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled October 30. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If Spotify does not release its #2 song for the week labeled October 30 by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The Weekly Top Songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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