The Prediction Markets

Air Force vs Northern Illinois: Spread

Closed
Oct 12, 2026
Traded
$8K
Venues
Kalshi
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Oct 12, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 15 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Air Force wins by over 1.5 points
71.5%
Kalshi 71.5%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
Contract
Air Force wins by over 1.5 points
Last price
71.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Air Force wins by over 2.5 points
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
Contract
Air Force wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
69%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Air Force wins by over 3.5 points
64%
Kalshi 64%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Air Force wins by over 3.5 points
Last price
64%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Kalshi
Air Force wins by over 4.5 points
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
Contract
Air Force wins by over 4.5 points
Last price
60%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Air Force wins by over 5.5 points
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Air Force wins by over 5.5 points
Last price
59%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Air Force wins by over 6.5 points
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
Contract
Air Force wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
57%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$287
Trade this on Kalshi
Air Force wins by over 7.5 points
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Air Force wins by over 7.5 points
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Air Force wins by over 9.5 points
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Air Force wins by over 9.5 points
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Air Force wins by over 13.5 points
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
Air Force wins by over 13.5 points
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$12
Trade this on Kalshi
Air Force wins by over 10.5 points
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
Contract
Air Force wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$820
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 22 more outcomes
Air Force wins by over 11.5 points
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Air Force wins by over 11.5 points
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Air Force wins by over 12.5 points
36%
Kalshi 36%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
Air Force wins by over 12.5 points
Last price
36%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$924
Trade this on Kalshi
Air Force wins by over 14.5 points
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Air Force wins by over 14.5 points
Last price
33%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Kalshi
Air Force wins by over 16.5 points
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Air Force wins by over 16.5 points
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Air Force wins by over 17.5 points
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Air Force wins by over 17.5 points
Last price
26%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$4
Trade this on Kalshi
Northern Illinois wins by over 1.5 points
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Northern Illinois wins by over 1.5 points
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Kalshi
Northern Illinois wins by over 2.5 points
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Northern Illinois wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Kalshi
Air Force wins by over 20.5 points
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Air Force wins by over 20.5 points
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Northern Illinois wins by over 3.5 points
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Northern Illinois wins by over 3.5 points
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Northern Illinois wins by over 4.5 points
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Northern Illinois wins by over 4.5 points
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Air Force wins by over 21.5 points
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Air Force wins by over 21.5 points
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Northern Illinois wins by over 5.5 points
16.5%
Kalshi 16.5%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Northern Illinois wins by over 5.5 points
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Air Force wins by over 23.5 points
15.5%
Kalshi 15.5%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Air Force wins by over 23.5 points
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Northern Illinois wins by over 6.5 points
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Northern Illinois wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Air Force wins by over 24.5 points
12.5%
Kalshi 12.5%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Air Force wins by over 24.5 points
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Northern Illinois wins by over 7.5 points
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Northern Illinois wins by over 7.5 points
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Air Force wins by over 27.5 points
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Air Force wins by over 27.5 points
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$165
Trade this on Kalshi
Northern Illinois wins by over 9.5 points
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Northern Illinois wins by over 9.5 points
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Northern Illinois wins by over 10.5 points
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Northern Illinois wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Northern Illinois wins by over 11.5 points
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Northern Illinois wins by over 11.5 points
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Air Force wins by over 30.5 points
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Air Force wins by over 30.5 points
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Northern Illinois wins by over 13.5 points
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Northern Illinois wins by over 13.5 points
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Air Force wins by over 1.5 points
  • Air Force wins by over 2.5 points
  • Air Force wins by over 3.5 points

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
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Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Air Force vs Northern Illinois: Spread". Air Force wins by over 1.5 points last traded at 71.5%. Next is Air Force wins by over 2.5 points at 69%. $8K has traded across 32 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Oct 12, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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