The Prediction Markets

Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (November 2026)

Closes
Dec 4, 2026, in 29 days
Traded
$21K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
5 h ago
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What the markets expect

Above 22.5M 99%

Next is Above 22M at 99%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 5 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Above 22.5M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 5 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 22.5M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
95¢
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 22M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 5 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 22M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 23.5M
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 23.5M
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$116
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 23M
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 23M
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$117
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 24M
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 24M
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 24.5M
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 24.5M
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$14
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 25M
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 25M
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$14
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 29.5M
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 29.5M
Last price
83%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 27.5M
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 27.5M
Last price
77%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 25.5M
74.5%
Kalshi 74.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 25.5M
Last price
74.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 20 more outcomes
Above 26M
74.5%
Kalshi 74.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 26M
Last price
74.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 27M
74.5%
Kalshi 74.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 27M
Last price
74.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 26.5M
73%
Kalshi 73%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 26.5M
Last price
73%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Kalshi
14.5M
66%
Polymarket 66%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
14.5M
Last price
66%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$85
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 28M
58.5%
Kalshi 58.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 28M
Last price
58.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 28.5M
58%
Kalshi 58%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 28.5M
Last price
58%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 29M
52.5%
Kalshi 52.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 29M
Last price
52.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Trade this on Kalshi
14.75M
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
14.75M
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$242
Trade this on Polymarket
15.5M
37.5%
Polymarket 37.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
15.5M
Last price
37.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$377
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 30.5M
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 30.5M
Last price
34%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 31.5M
32.5%
Kalshi 32.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 31.5M
Last price
32.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 32M
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 32M
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 30M
31.5%
Kalshi 31.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 30M
Last price
31.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 31M
31.5%
Kalshi 31.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 31M
Last price
31.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 32.5M
30.5%
Kalshi 30.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 32.5M
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 33.5M
30.5%
Kalshi 30.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 33.5M
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 33M
30.5%
Kalshi 30.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 33M
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 34M
30.5%
Kalshi 30.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 34M
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Trade this on Kalshi
15M
28.5%
Polymarket 28.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
15M
Last price
28.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$27
Trade this on Polymarket
15.25M
25%
Polymarket 25%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
15.25M
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$520
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: YouTube Charts

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 22.5M
  • Above 22M
  • Above 23.5M

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Above 22.5M for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (November 2026)". Above 22.5M leads at 99%. Next is Above 22M at 99%. $21K has traded across 30 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 4, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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