This market has closed
Trading ended on Apr 19, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 195 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Charles Leclerc51.5%51.5%49¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 4702 h ago54¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Charles Leclerc51.5%Polymarket 51.5%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
- Contract
- Charles Leclerc
- Last price
- 51.5%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $844
Alexander Albon50.5%50.5%49¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 4702 h ago52¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $192 (1.92x)Alexander Albon50.5%Polymarket 50.5%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
- Contract
- Alexander Albon
- Last price
- 50.5%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
- Volume
- $10K
Andrea Kimi Antonelli50%50%49¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 4702 h ago51¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Andrea Kimi Antonelli50%Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
- Contract
- Andrea Kimi Antonelli
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $2K
Arvid Lindblad50%50%49¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 4702 h ago51¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Arvid Lindblad50%Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
- Contract
- Arvid Lindblad
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $2K
Carlos Sainz Jr.50%50%49¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 4702 h ago51¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Carlos Sainz Jr.50%Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
- Contract
- Carlos Sainz Jr.
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $4K
Esteban Ocon50%50%49¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 4702 h ago51¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Esteban Ocon50%Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
- Contract
- Esteban Ocon
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $4K
Fernando Alonso50%50%49¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 4702 h ago51¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Fernando Alonso50%Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
- Contract
- Fernando Alonso
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $17K
Franco Colapinto50%50%49¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 4702 h ago51¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Franco Colapinto50%Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
- Contract
- Franco Colapinto
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $5K
Gabriel Bortoleto50%50%49¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 4702 h ago51¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Gabriel Bortoleto50%Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
- Contract
- Gabriel Bortoleto
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $5K
Isack Hadjar50%50%49¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 4702 h ago51¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Isack Hadjar50%Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
- Contract
- Isack Hadjar
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $2K
Show 11 more outcomesHide 11 outcomes
Lando Norris50%50%49¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 4702 h ago51¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Lando Norris50%Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
- Contract
- Lando Norris
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $846
Liam Lawson50%50%49¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 4702 h ago51¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Liam Lawson50%Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
- Contract
- Liam Lawson
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $4K
Max Verstappen50%50%49¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 4702 h ago51¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Max Verstappen50%Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
- Contract
- Max Verstappen
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $286
Nico Hulkenberg50%50%49¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 4702 h ago51¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Nico Hulkenberg50%Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
- Contract
- Nico Hulkenberg
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $3K
Oliver Bearman50%50%49¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 4702 h ago51¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Oliver Bearman50%Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
- Contract
- Oliver Bearman
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $1K
Oscar Piastri50%50%49¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 4702 h ago51¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Oscar Piastri50%Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
- Contract
- Oscar Piastri
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $1K
Pierre Gasly50%50%49¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 4702 h ago51¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Pierre Gasly50%Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
- Contract
- Pierre Gasly
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $8K
Sergio Perez50%50%49¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 4702 h ago51¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Sergio Perez50%Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
- Contract
- Sergio Perez
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $11K
Valtteri Bottas50%50%49¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 4702 h ago51¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Valtteri Bottas50%Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
- Contract
- Valtteri Bottas
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $9K
Lewis Hamilton49.5%49.5%48¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 4702 h ago51¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Lewis Hamilton49.5%Polymarket 49.5%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
- Contract
- Lewis Hamilton
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 48¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $3K
George Russell49%49%47¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 4702 h ago51¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $196 (1.96x)George Russell49%Polymarket 49%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
- Contract
- George Russell
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled 195 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 47¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $4K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:

- UMA optimistic oracle, source: formula1.com
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Charles Leclerc
- Alexander Albon
- Andrea Kimi Antonelli
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "Bahrain Grand Prix: Driver Podium Finish". Charles Leclerc last traded at 51.5%. Next is Alexander Albon at 50.5%. $96K has traded across 21 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Bahrain Grand Prix, scheduled for Apr 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. If the Bahrain Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Bahrain Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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