The Prediction Markets

Bahrain Grand Prix: Driver Podium Finish

Closed
Apr 19, 2026
Traded
$96K
Venues
Polymarket
Share

This market has closed

Trading ended on Apr 19, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 195 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Charles Leclerc
51.5%
Polymarket 51.5%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charles Leclerc
Last price
51.5%
As of
Polled 195 d ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$844
Trade this on Polymarket
Alexander Albon
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alexander Albon
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled 195 d ago
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 195 d ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Arvid Lindblad
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arvid Lindblad
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 195 d ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Carlos Sainz Jr.
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Carlos Sainz Jr.
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 195 d ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Esteban Ocon
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Esteban Ocon
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 195 d ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Fernando Alonso
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fernando Alonso
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 195 d ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Polymarket
Franco Colapinto
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Franco Colapinto
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 195 d ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Gabriel Bortoleto
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gabriel Bortoleto
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 195 d ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Isack Hadjar
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Isack Hadjar
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 195 d ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 11 more outcomes
Lando Norris
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lando Norris
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 195 d ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$846
Trade this on Polymarket
Liam Lawson
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Liam Lawson
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 195 d ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Max Verstappen
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Max Verstappen
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 195 d ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$286
Trade this on Polymarket
Nico Hulkenberg
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nico Hulkenberg
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 195 d ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Oliver Bearman
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oliver Bearman
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 195 d ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Oscar Piastri
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oscar Piastri
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 195 d ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Pierre Gasly
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pierre Gasly
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 195 d ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Sergio Perez
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sergio Perez
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 195 d ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Polymarket
Valtteri Bottas
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Valtteri Bottas
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 195 d ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lewis Hamilton
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lewis Hamilton
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 195 d ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
George Russell
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 4702 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
George Russell
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 195 d ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: formula1.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Charles Leclerc
  • Alexander Albon
  • Andrea Kimi Antonelli

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Bahrain Grand Prix: Driver Podium Finish". Charles Leclerc last traded at 51.5%. Next is Alexander Albon at 50.5%. $96K has traded across 21 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Bahrain Grand Prix, scheduled for Apr 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. If the Bahrain Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Bahrain Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

See all ai_tech markets