This market has closed
Trading ended on Apr 7, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 199 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Draw (Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Fluminense FC)99.9%100%99.9¢ bid, — askpolled, 4776 h agoNo askDraw (Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Fluminense FC)99.9%Polymarket 100%polled, 4776 h ago
- Contract
- Draw (Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Fluminense FC)
- Last price
- 100%
- As of
- Polled 199 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99.9¢
- Volume
- $16K
Deportivo La Guaira FC0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4776 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Deportivo La Guaira FC0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4776 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Deportivo La Guaira FC
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 199 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $62K
Fluminense FC0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 4776 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Fluminense FC0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4776 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Fluminense FC
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 199 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $296K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:

- UMA optimistic oracle, source: conmebollibertadores.com
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Draw (Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Fluminense FC)
- Deportivo La Guaira FC
- Fluminense FC
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Fluminense FC". Draw (Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Fluminense FC) last traded at 99.9%. Next is Deportivo La Guaira FC at 0.1%. $374K has traded across 3 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 7, 2026.
This event is for the upcoming Copa Libertadores game, scheduled for Tuesday, April 7, 2026 between Deportivo La Guaira FC and Fluminense FC.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
More ai_tech markets
See all ai_tech markets- Best AI at the end of 2026?Claude50.1%$15.3M traded
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?Before Apr 1, 202791%$3.5M traded
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?Google87.7%$3.4M traded
- AI bubble burst by...?June 30, 202721%$3.1M traded
- OpenAI IPO by...?June 30, 202736.5%$3.1M traded
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?Anthropic49.5%$2.9M traded