The Prediction Markets

"Ebenezer" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

Closes
Nov 16, 2026, in 11 days
Traded
$625K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
4 h ago
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What the markets expect

20+ 90.5%

Next is Above 20 at 89%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
20+
90.5%
Polymarket 90.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
20+
Last price
90.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 20
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 20
Last price
89%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$21K
Trade this on Kalshi
30+
80%
Polymarket 80%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
30+
Last price
80%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$226
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 25
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 25
Last price
76%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 30
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 30
Last price
70%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$25K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 35
64%
Kalshi 64%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 35
Last price
64%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$26K
Trade this on Kalshi
40+
63%
Polymarket 63%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 78¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Polymarket
Contract
40+
Last price
63%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 40
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 40
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$57K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 45
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 45
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$24K
Trade this on Kalshi
50+
41.5%
Polymarket 41.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
50+
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 11 more outcomes
Above 50
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 50
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$55K
Trade this on Kalshi
60+
25.5%
Polymarket 25.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
60+
Last price
25.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 55
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 55
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$60K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 60
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 60
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$50K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 65
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 65
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$55K
Trade this on Kalshi
70+
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
70+
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 70
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 70
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$70K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 75
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 75
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$50K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 80
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 80
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$50K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 85
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 85
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$33K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 90
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 90
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Rotten Tomatoes

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 20+
  • Above 20
  • 30+

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list 20+ for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for ""Ebenezer" Rotten Tomatoes Score?". 20+ leads at 90.5%. Next is Above 20 at 89%. $625K has traded across 21 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes "All Critics" Tomatometer score for Ebenezer is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on November 16, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to "No" if no data is available by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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