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Trading ended on Jul 31, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 125 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Japan41%41%38¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago42¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $238 (2.38x)Japan41%Kalshi 41%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Japan
41%
41%
38¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
42¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Japan
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Japan
- Last price
- 41%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
- Volume
- $27K
Tie/Co-Winners19%19%14¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Tie/Co-Winners19%Kalshi 19%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Tie/Co-Winners
19%
19%
14¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Tie/Co-Winners
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tie/Co-Winners
- Last price
- 19%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $2K
Germany10%10%4¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Germany10%Kalshi 10%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Germany
10%
10%
4¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Germany
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Germany
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $646
Spain10%10%6¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Spain10%Kalshi 10%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Spain
10%
10%
6¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Spain
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Spain
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $4K
Switzerland10%10%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Switzerland10%Kalshi 10%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Switzerland
10%
10%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Switzerland
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Switzerland
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $359
Belgium8%8%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Belgium8%Kalshi 8%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Belgium
8%
8%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Belgium
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Belgium
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $148
Croatia8%8%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Croatia8%Kalshi 8%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Croatia
8%
8%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Croatia
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Croatia
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $236
England8%8%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)England8%Kalshi 8%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
England
8%
8%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
England
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- England
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $517
France8%8%3¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)France8%Kalshi 8%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
France
8%
8%
3¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
France
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- France
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $977
Korea Republic8%8%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Korea Republic8%Kalshi 8%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Korea Republic
8%
8%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Korea Republic
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Korea Republic
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $1K
Show 39 more outcomesHide 39 outcomes
Curacao7%7%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Curacao7%Kalshi 7%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Curacao
7%
7%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Curacao
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Curacao
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $144
Colombia6%6%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Colombia6%Kalshi 6%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Colombia
6%
6%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Colombia
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Colombia
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $125
IR Iran6%6%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)IR Iran6%Kalshi 6%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
IR Iran
6%
6%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
IR Iran
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- IR Iran
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $131
USA6%6%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)USA6%Kalshi 6%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
USA
6%
6%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
USA
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- USA
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $190
Austria5%5%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Austria5%Kalshi 5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Austria
5%
5%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Austria
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Austria
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $80
Haiti5%5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Haiti5%Kalshi 5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Haiti
5%
5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Haiti
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Haiti
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $48
Iraq5%5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Iraq5%Kalshi 5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Iraq
5%
5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Iraq
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iraq
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $41
New Zealand5%5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)New Zealand5%Kalshi 5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
New Zealand
5%
5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
New Zealand
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Zealand
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $19
Scotland5%5%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Scotland5%Kalshi 5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Scotland
5%
5%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Scotland
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Scotland
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $38
Senegal5%5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Senegal5%Kalshi 5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Senegal
5%
5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Senegal
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Senegal
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $20
Sweden5%5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Sweden5%Kalshi 5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Sweden
5%
5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Sweden
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sweden
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $94
Canada4%4%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Canada4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Canada
4%
4%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Canada
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Canada
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $201
Cape Verde4%4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Cape Verde4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Cape Verde
4%
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Cape Verde
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cape Verde
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $752
Congo DR4%4%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Congo DR4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Congo DR
4%
4%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Congo DR
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Congo DR
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $136
Turkiye4%4%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Turkiye4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Turkiye
4%
4%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Turkiye
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Turkiye
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $334
Brazil3%3%3¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Brazil3%Kalshi 3%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Brazil
3%
3%
3¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Brazil
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brazil
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $14
Mexico3%3%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Mexico3%Kalshi 3%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Mexico
3%
3%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Mexico
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mexico
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $513
Algeria2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Algeria2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Algeria
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Algeria
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Algeria
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Argentina2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Argentina2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Argentina
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Argentina
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Argentina
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Australia2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Australia2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Australia
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Australia
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Australia
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Bosnia and Herzegovina2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Bosnia and Herzegovina2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Bosnia and Herzegovina
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Bosnia and Herzegovina
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bosnia and Herzegovina
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Czechia2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Czechia2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Czechia
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Czechia
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Czechia
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Ecuador2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Ecuador2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ecuador
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ecuador
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ecuador
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Egypt2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Egypt2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Egypt
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Egypt
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Egypt
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Ghana2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Ghana2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ghana
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ghana
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ghana
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Ivory Coast2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Ivory Coast2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ivory Coast
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ivory Coast
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ivory Coast
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Jordan2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Jordan2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Jordan
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Jordan
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jordan
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Netherlands2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Netherlands2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Netherlands
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Netherlands
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Netherlands
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Panama2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Panama2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Panama
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Panama
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Panama
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Qatar2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Qatar2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Qatar
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Qatar
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Qatar
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Saudi Arabia2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Saudi Arabia2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Saudi Arabia
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Saudi Arabia
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Saudi Arabia
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Tunisia2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Tunisia2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Tunisia
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Tunisia
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tunisia
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Uruguay2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Uruguay2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Uruguay
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Uruguay
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Uruguay
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Uzbekistan2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Uzbekistan2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Uzbekistan
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Uzbekistan
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Uzbekistan
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Morocco2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Morocco2%Kalshi 2%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Morocco
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Morocco
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Morocco
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Norway2%2%2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Norway2%Kalshi 2%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Norway
2%
2%
2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Norway
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Norway
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $156
Portugal2%2%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Portugal2%Kalshi 2%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Portugal
2%
2%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Portugal
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Portugal
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $1K
Paraguay1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Paraguay1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Paraguay
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Paraguay
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Paraguay
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
South Africa1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3021 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)South Africa1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
South Africa
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3021 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
South Africa
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- South Africa
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Who resolves this market
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Japan
- Tie/Co-Winners
- Germany
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "Fair Play Award Winner". Japan last traded at 41%. Next is Tie/Co-Winners at 19%. $40K has traded across 49 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Jul 31, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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