Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
Above 1.3100 49.5%
Next is Above 1.3125 at 49.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Above 1.310049.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 2 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 1.310049.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3100
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3100
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 1.3100
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.312549.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 2 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 1.312549.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3125
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3125
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 1.3125
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.315049.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 2 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 1.315049.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3150
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3150
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 1.3150
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.317549.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 2 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 1.317549.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3175
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3175
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 1.3175
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.320049.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 2 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 1.320049.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3200
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3200
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 1.3200
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.322549.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 2 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 1.322549.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3225
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3225
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 1.3225
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.325049.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 2 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 1.325049.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3250
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3250
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 1.3250
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.327549.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 2 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 1.327549.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3275
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3275
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 1.3275
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.330049.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 2 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 1.330049.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3300
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3300
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 1.3300
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.332549.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 2 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 1.332549.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3325
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3325
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 1.3325
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Show 11 more outcomesHide 11 outcomes
Above 1.335049.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 2 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 1.335049.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3350
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3350
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 1.3350
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.337549.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 2 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 1.337549.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3375
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3375
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 1.3375
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.340049.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 2 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 1.340049.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3400
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3400
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 1.3400
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.342549.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 2 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 1.342549.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3425
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3425
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 1.3425
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.345049.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 2 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 1.345049.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3450
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3450
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 1.3450
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.347549.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 2 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 1.347549.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3475
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3475
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 1.3475
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.350049.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 2 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 1.350049.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3500
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.3500
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 1.3500
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Above 1.35505%5%— bid, 91¢ askpolled, 2 min ago91¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $110 (1.10x)Above 1.35505%Kalshi 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Above 1.3550
5%
5%
— bid, 91¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
91¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Above 1.3550
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 1.3550
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 91¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $110 (1.10x)
- Volume
- $200
Above 1.35254%4%— bid, 91¢ askpolled, 2 min ago91¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $110 (1.10x)Above 1.35254%Kalshi 4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Above 1.3525
4%
4%
— bid, 91¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
91¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Above 1.3525
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 1.3525
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 91¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $110 (1.10x)
- Volume
- $200
Above 1.35754%4%— bid, 91¢ askpolled, 2 min ago91¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $110 (1.10x)Above 1.35754%Kalshi 4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Above 1.3575
4%
4%
— bid, 91¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
91¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Above 1.3575
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 1.3575
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 91¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $110 (1.10x)
- Volume
- $400
Above 1.36001%1%— bid, 54¢ askpolled, 2 min ago54¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Above 1.36001%Kalshi 1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Above 1.3600
1%
1%
— bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
54¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Above 1.3600
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 1.3600
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $200
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Pyth - GBPUSD
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Above 1.3100
- Above 1.3125
- Above 1.3150
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "GBP/USD at 9:30am ET · US PCE and GDP". Above 1.3100 leads at 49.5%. Next is Above 1.3125 at 49.5%. $1K has traded across 21 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 25, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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