The Prediction Markets

Golden Globe Winner: Best Motion Picture - Animated

Closes
Jan 10, 2028, in 14 months
Traded
$13K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
6 h ago
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What the markets expect

Wildwood 68.2%

Next is Toy Story 5 at 10%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Wildwood 68.2%Toy Story 5 10%Ray Gunn 6.4%Tangles 4.6%Hoppers 3.6%6 others 7.2%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 6 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Wildwood
68.2%
Kalshi 75%(68.2% fair)polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Wildwood
Last price
75%
Fair, margin removed
68.2%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Toy Story 5
10%
Kalshi 11%(10% fair)polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Toy Story 5
Last price
11%
Fair, margin removed
10%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$676
Trade this on Kalshi
Ray Gunn
6.4%
Kalshi 7%(6.4% fair)polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ray Gunn
Last price
7%
Fair, margin removed
6.4%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$648
Trade this on Kalshi
Tangles
4.6%
Kalshi 5%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tangles
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$648
Trade this on Kalshi
Hoppers
3.6%
Kalshi 4%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hoppers
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$562
Trade this on Kalshi
Forgotten Island
1.8%
Kalshi 2%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Forgotten Island
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$550
Trade this on Kalshi
Hexed
1.8%
Kalshi 2%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hexed
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$550
Trade this on Kalshi
Julián
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Julián
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$550
Trade this on Kalshi
Minions & Monsters
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minions & Monsters
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$648
Trade this on Kalshi
Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$590
Trade this on Kalshi
Tie
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tie
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 6 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$550
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Golden Globes

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Wildwood
  • Toy Story 5
  • Ray Gunn

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

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Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Golden Globe Winner: Best Motion Picture - Animated". Wildwood leads at 68.2%. Next is Toy Story 5 at 10%. $13K has traded across 11 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 10, 2028.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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