Combined depth · both venues
Loading both order books…
What the markets expect
Keri Russell 90%
Next is The Pitt at 74%. The venues differ most on Cynthia Erivo (Polymarket 50.5%, Kalshi 7.5%), a 43-point gap.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 21 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Keri Russell90%84%70¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 21 min ago96%82¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, 5 min ago96¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $104 (1.04x)Keri Russell90%Polymarket 84%polled, 21 min agoKalshi 96%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Keri Russell
90%
84%
70¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
96%
82¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
96¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Keri Russell
90%
Polymarket 84%polled, 21 min agoKalshi 96%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Keri Russell
- Last price
- 84%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 70¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Keri Russell
- Last price
- 96%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 82¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $6
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 21 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 82¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 98¢.
The Pitt74%Not listed55%55¢ bid, 69¢ askpolled, 14 min ago69¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $145 (1.45x)The Pitt74%Kalshi 95%polled, 12 min agoKalshi 55%polled, 14 min agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
The Pitt
74%
Not listed
55%
55¢ bid, 69¢ ask
polled, 14 min ago
69¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $145 (1.45x)
The Pitt
74%
Kalshi 95%polled, 12 min agoKalshi 55%polled, 14 min agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- The Pitt
- Last price
- 95%
- As of
- Polled 12 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $419
Kalshi
- Contract
- The Pitt
- Last price
- 55%
- As of
- Polled 14 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
- Volume
- $461
Zendaya62.5%50%2¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 21 min ago75%73¢ bid, 91¢ askpolled, 5 min ago91¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $110 (1.10x)Zendaya62.5%Polymarket 50%polled, 21 min agoKalshi 75%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Zendaya
62.5%
50%
2¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
75%
73¢ bid, 91¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
91¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Zendaya
62.5%
Polymarket 50%polled, 21 min agoKalshi 75%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Zendaya
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Zendaya
- Last price
- 75%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 91¢
- Sell Yes
- 73¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $110 (1.10x)
- Volume
- $30
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 21 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 73¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 98¢.
Chase Infiniti60%50%2¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 21 min ago70%66¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, 5 min ago80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Chase Infiniti60%Polymarket 50%polled, 21 min agoKalshi 70%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Chase Infiniti
60%
50%
2¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
70%
66¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Chase Infiniti
60%
Polymarket 50%polled, 21 min agoKalshi 70%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Chase Infiniti
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chase Infiniti
- Last price
- 70%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
- Volume
- $2K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 21 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 66¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 98¢.
Emmy Rossum51%51%4¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 21 min agoNot listed98¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Emmy Rossum51%Polymarket 51%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Emmy Rossum
51%
51%
4¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
Not listed
98¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Emmy Rossum
51%
Polymarket 51%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Emmy Rossum
- Last price
- 51%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
Carrie Coon50%50%2¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 21 min ago50%35¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 5 min ago50¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Carrie Coon50%Polymarket 50%polled, 21 min agoKalshi 50%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Carrie Coon
50%
50%
2¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
50%
35¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
50¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Carrie Coon
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 21 min agoKalshi 50%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Carrie Coon
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Carrie Coon
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
- Volume
- $4K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 21 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 50¢.
DEACTIVATED50%Not listed50%No order bookpolled, 5 min agoNo askDEACTIVATED50%Kalshi 50%polled, 5 min ago
DEACTIVATED
50%
Not listed
50%
No order book
polled, 5 min ago
No ask
DEACTIVATED
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 5 min ago
Michelle Pfeiffer48%50%2¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 21 min ago46%28¢ bid, 46¢ askpolled, 5 min ago46¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $217 (2.17x)Michelle Pfeiffer48%Polymarket 50%polled, 21 min agoKalshi 46%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Michelle Pfeiffer
48%
50%
2¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
46%
28¢ bid, 46¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
46¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Michelle Pfeiffer
48%
Polymarket 50%polled, 21 min agoKalshi 46%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Michelle Pfeiffer
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michelle Pfeiffer
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
- Volume
- $475
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 21 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 46¢.
Slow Horses46%Not listed4%1¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 14 min ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Slow Horses46%Kalshi 88%polled, 12 min agoKalshi 4%polled, 14 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Slow Horses
46%
Not listed
4%
1¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 14 min ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Slow Horses
46%
Kalshi 88%polled, 12 min agoKalshi 4%polled, 14 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Slow Horses
- Last price
- 88%
- As of
- Polled 12 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 80¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Slow Horses
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 14 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $311
Emma D’Arcy44.5%50%2¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 21 min ago39%20¢ bid, 39¢ askpolled, 5 min ago39¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $256 (2.56x)Emma D’Arcy44.5%Polymarket 50%polled, 21 min agoKalshi 39%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Emma D’Arcy
44.5%
50%
2¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
39%
20¢ bid, 39¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
39¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Emma D’Arcy
44.5%
Polymarket 50%polled, 21 min agoKalshi 39%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Emma D’Arcy
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Emma D’Arcy
- Last price
- 39%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 39¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $256 (2.56x)
- Volume
- $210
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 21 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 39¢.
Show 14 more outcomesHide 14 outcomes
Myha’la37.5%50%2¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 21 min ago25%10¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 5 min ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Myha’la37.5%Polymarket 50%polled, 21 min agoKalshi 25%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Myha’la
37.5%
50%
2¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
25%
10¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Myha’la
37.5%
Polymarket 50%polled, 21 min agoKalshi 25%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Myha’la
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Myha’la
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $46
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 21 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 27¢.
The Diplomat36.5%Not listed16%1¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 14 min ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)The Diplomat36.5%Kalshi 98%polled, 12 min agoKalshi 16%polled, 14 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
The Diplomat
36.5%
Not listed
16%
1¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 14 min ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
The Diplomat
36.5%
Kalshi 98%polled, 12 min agoKalshi 16%polled, 14 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- The Diplomat
- Last price
- 98%
- As of
- Polled 12 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 88¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $10
Kalshi
- Contract
- The Diplomat
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled 14 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $359
A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms35.1%Not listed5%1¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 14 min ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms35.1%Kalshi 79%polled, 12 min agoKalshi 5%polled, 14 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms
35.1%
Not listed
5%
1¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 14 min ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms
35.1%
Kalshi 79%polled, 12 min agoKalshi 5%polled, 14 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms
- Last price
- 79%
- As of
- Polled 12 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 61¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
- Volume
- $455
Kalshi
- Contract
- A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 14 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $664
Nicole Kidman32.5%50%2¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 21 min ago15%6¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 5 min ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Nicole Kidman32.5%Polymarket 50%polled, 21 min agoKalshi 15%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Nicole Kidman
32.5%
50%
2¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
15%
6¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Nicole Kidman
32.5%
Polymarket 50%polled, 21 min agoKalshi 15%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nicole Kidman
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nicole Kidman
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 21 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 24¢.
Rebecca Ferguson32.5%50%2¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 21 min ago15%6¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 5 min ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Rebecca Ferguson32.5%Polymarket 50%polled, 21 min agoKalshi 15%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Rebecca Ferguson
32.5%
50%
2¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
15%
6¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Rebecca Ferguson
32.5%
Polymarket 50%polled, 21 min agoKalshi 15%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rebecca Ferguson
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Rebecca Ferguson
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 21 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 24¢.
The Gilded Age32.3%Not listed3%1¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 14 min ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)The Gilded Age32.3%Kalshi 42%polled, 12 min agoKalshi 3%polled, 14 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
The Gilded Age
32.3%
Not listed
3%
1¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 14 min ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
The Gilded Age
32.3%
Kalshi 42%polled, 12 min agoKalshi 3%polled, 14 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- The Gilded Age
- Last price
- 42%
- As of
- Polled 12 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
- Volume
- $6K
Kalshi
- Contract
- The Gilded Age
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 14 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $608
Cynthia Erivo29%50.5%2¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 21 min ago7.5%1¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 5 min ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Cynthia Erivo29%Polymarket 50.5%polled, 21 min agoKalshi 7.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Cynthia Erivo
29%
50.5%
2¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
7.5%
1¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Cynthia Erivo
29%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 21 min agoKalshi 7.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cynthia Erivo
- Last price
- 50.5%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cynthia Erivo
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 21 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 14¢.
Paradise18%Not listed4%4¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 14 min ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Paradise18%Kalshi 60%polled, 12 min agoKalshi 4%polled, 14 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Paradise
18%
Not listed
4%
4¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 14 min ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Paradise
18%
Kalshi 60%polled, 12 min agoKalshi 4%polled, 14 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Paradise
- Last price
- 60%
- As of
- Polled 12 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 60¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $167 (1.67x)
- Volume
- $411
Kalshi
- Contract
- Paradise
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 14 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $4K
House of the Dragon16.5%Not listed18%1¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 14 min ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)House of the Dragon16.5%Kalshi 16%polled, 12 min agoKalshi 18%polled, 14 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
House of the Dragon
16.5%
Not listed
18%
1¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 14 min ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
House of the Dragon
16.5%
Kalshi 16%polled, 12 min agoKalshi 18%polled, 14 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- House of the Dragon
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled 12 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $5K
Kalshi
- Contract
- House of the Dragon
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled 14 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
- Volume
- $331
Kathy Bates13%16%13¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 21 min ago12%8¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 5 min ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Kathy Bates13%Polymarket 16%polled, 21 min agoKalshi 12%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kathy Bates
13%
16%
13¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
12%
8¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kathy Bates
13%
Polymarket 16%polled, 21 min agoKalshi 12%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kathy Bates
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kathy Bates
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $23K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 21 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 12¢ and selling on Polymarket at 13¢ nets 100 bps before fees.
Your Friends & Neighbors4.5%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 14 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Your Friends & Neighbors4.5%Kalshi 14%polled, 12 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 14 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Your Friends & Neighbors
4.5%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 14 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Your Friends & Neighbors
4.5%
Kalshi 14%polled, 12 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 14 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Your Friends & Neighbors
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled 12 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $232
Kalshi
- Contract
- Your Friends & Neighbors
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 14 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $637
Euphoria2%Not listed1%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 14 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Euphoria2%Kalshi 5%polled, 12 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 14 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Euphoria
2%
Not listed
1%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 14 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Euphoria
2%
Kalshi 5%polled, 12 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 14 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Euphoria
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 12 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $26
Kalshi
- Contract
- Euphoria
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 14 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $608
Tie1%Not listed1%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 14 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Tie1%Kalshi 1%polled, 14 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Tie
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 14 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Tie
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 14 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tie
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 14 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $311
Pluribus1%Not listed1%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 14 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Pluribus1%Kalshi 1%polled, 12 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 14 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Pluribus
1%
Not listed
1%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 14 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Pluribus
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 12 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 14 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pluribus
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 12 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $7K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pluribus
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 14 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $765
Indicative gap, prices are 21 min old: Kathy Bates asks 12¢ on Kalshi and bids 13¢ on Polymarket (100 bps). Recheck both venues before trading. See all spreads
Mostly the same bet: one difference
Where they differ
- Trading closes at different times: Dec 8, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 8, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Golden Globes
Show full rule comparisonHide full rule comparison
- Trading closes Dec 8, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 8, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Keri Russell
- The Pitt
- Zendaya
Live prices for Keri Russell
What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Open on Polymarket ↗Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
Depth · top 8 levels
Loading snapshot…Recent trades
Loading…Kalshi
Open on Kalshi ↗Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
Depth · top 8 levels
Loading snapshot…Recent trades
Loading…What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Golden Globes 2027: Best Actress – Television Drama Nominees". Keri Russell leads at 90%. Next is The Pitt at 74%. $59K has traded across 24 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 8, 2026.
The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by Dick Clark Productions. For the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 7, 2026, and the ceremony for January 10, 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person is nominated for Best Actress in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are announced by January 10, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
More culture markets
See all culture markets- New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?March 31, 20275.8%$31.1M traded
- Highest grossing movie in 2026?Spider-Man: Brand New Day88.5%$18.6M traded
- Oscar for Best Picture?The Odyssey51%$13.0M traded
- Dancing with the Stars Season 35 · WinnerEzra Frech60%$6.8M traded
- GTA 6 release date?Before January 202899%$4.8M traded
- Who will be the next James Bond?Robert Pattinson62%$4.8M traded