The Prediction Markets

Google share of requests on Oct 24, 2026 (Vercel)

Closes
Oct 25, 2026, in 8 hours
Traded
$3K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Above 12.7% 78%

Next is Above 12.3% at 74%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above 12.7%
78%
Kalshi 78%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 12.7%
Last price
78%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$24
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 12.3%
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 12.3%
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$405
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 13.2%
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.2%
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 13.4%
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.4%
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$99
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 17.2%
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 58s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 17.2%
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$11
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 11.5%
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 11.5%
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$180
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 13.8%
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.8%
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$185
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 15.0%
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15.0%
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 16.4%
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 58s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 16.4%
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$25
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards - Labs

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 12.7%
  • Above 12.3%
  • Above 13.2%

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Google share of requests on Oct 24, 2026 (Vercel)". Above 12.7% leads at 78%. Next is Above 12.3% at 74%. $3K has traded across 9 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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