The Prediction Markets

GPU rental prices (RTX 6000) end of December 2026?

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 57 days
Traded
$2K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

1.50-$1.75 36.6%

Next is 1.25-$1.50 at 22.6%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

1.50-$1.75 36.6%1.25-$1.50 22.6%1.00 18.8%1.00-$1.25 11.2%2.00+ 7%1.75-$2.00 3.8%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
1.50-$1.75
36.6%
Polymarket 52.5%(36.6% fair)polled, 37s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.50-$1.75
Last price
52.5%
Fair, margin removed
36.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$416
Trade this on Polymarket
1.25-$1.50
22.6%
Polymarket 32.5%(22.6% fair)polled, 37s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.25-$1.50
Last price
32.5%
Fair, margin removed
22.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$441
Trade this on Polymarket
1.00
18.8%
Polymarket 27.1%(18.8% fair)polled, 37s agoBest Yes 53.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $188 (1.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.00
Last price
27.1%
Fair, margin removed
18.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
53.1¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$188 (1.88x)
Volume
$150
Trade this on Polymarket
1.00-$1.25
11.2%
Polymarket 16%(11.1% fair)polled, 37s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.00-$1.25
Last price
16%
Fair, margin removed
11.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$170
Trade this on Polymarket
2.00+
7%
Polymarket 10%(7% fair)polled, 37s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.00+
Last price
10%
Fair, margin removed
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$109
Trade this on Polymarket
1.75-$2.00
3.8%
Polymarket 5.5%(3.8% fair)polled, 37s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.75-$2.00
Last price
5.5%
Fair, margin removed
3.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$242
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: data.ornn.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 1.50-$1.75
  • 1.25-$1.50
  • 1.00

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "GPU rental prices (RTX 6000) end of December 2026?". 1.50-$1.75 leads at 36.6%. Next is 1.25-$1.50 at 22.6%. $2K has traded across 6 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn RTX 6000 Index price for December 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornn (data.ornn.com), specifically, the RTX PRO 6000 Price Index (OCPI-RTX6K) data available at https://data.ornn.com/markets/rtx-pro-6000. The specified finalized daily value shown will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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GPU rental prices (RTX 6000) end of December 2026? Odds, Platforms, and Market Data | The Prediction Markets