The Prediction Markets

Grammy Winner: Best Country Duo/Group Performance

Closes
Dec 31, 2027, in 14 months
Traded
$10K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
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What the markets expect

Bring Your Love - Madonna & Sabrina Carpenter 85%

Next is Dracula (with JENNIE) - Tame Impala & JENNIE at 83%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 7 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Bring Your Love - Madonna & Sabrina Carpenter
85%
Polymarket 85%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bring Your Love - Madonna & Sabrina Carpenter
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$248
Trade this on Polymarket
Dracula (with JENNIE) - Tame Impala & JENNIE
83%
Polymarket 83%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dracula (with JENNIE) - Tame Impala & JENNIE
Last price
83%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$105
Trade this on Polymarket
Rein Me In (with Olivia Dean) - Sam Fender & Olivia Dean
75%
Polymarket 75%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 78¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rein Me In (with Olivia Dean) - Sam Fender & Olivia Dean
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
The Life of a Showgirl (feat. Sabrina Carpenter) - Taylor Swift feat. Sabrina Carpenter
63.5%
Polymarket 63.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Life of a Showgirl (feat. Sabrina Carpenter) - Taylor Swift feat. Sabrina Carpenter
Last price
63.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$12
Trade this on Polymarket
Animal - KATSEYE
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Animal - KATSEYE
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Polymarket
Click Clack Symphony (feat. Hans Zimmer) - RAYE feat. Hans Zimmer
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Click Clack Symphony (feat. Hans Zimmer) - RAYE feat. Hans Zimmer
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Pick It Up (feat. Selena Gomez) - Cardi B feat. Selena Gomez
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pick It Up (feat. Selena Gomez) - Cardi B feat. Selena Gomez
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Reputation (feat. Dominic Fike) - Ravyn Lenae feat. Dominic Fike
47.4%
Polymarket 47.4%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 93.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $107 (1.07x)
Polymarket
Contract
Reputation (feat. Dominic Fike) - Ravyn Lenae feat. Dominic Fike
Last price
47.4%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
93.7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$107 (1.07x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Sweet Nuthins - Kehlani feat. Leon Thomas
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sweet Nuthins - Kehlani feat. Leon Thomas
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$769
Trade this on Polymarket
RUNWAY - Lady Gaga & Doechii
42%
Polymarket 42%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 77¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Polymarket
Contract
RUNWAY - Lady Gaga & Doechii
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$160
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 24 more outcomes
SHE DID IT AGAIN (Zara Larsson) - Tyla feat. Zara Larsson
34.5%
Polymarket 34.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
SHE DID IT AGAIN (Zara Larsson) - Tyla feat. Zara Larsson
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$13
Trade this on Polymarket
Still - KAROL G & Bruno Mars
32%
Polymarket 32%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
Still - KAROL G & Bruno Mars
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$842
Trade this on Polymarket
Horses and Divorces
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Horses and Divorces
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 7 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$559
Trade this on Kalshi
Light of a Clear Blue Morning
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Light of a Clear Blue Morning
Last price
26%
As of
Polled 7 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$530
Trade this on Kalshi
Hips Dont Lie (Anniversary Version) - Shakira, Ed Sheeran & Beele
21.1%
Polymarket 21.1%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 41.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $243 (2.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hips Dont Lie (Anniversary Version) - Shakira, Ed Sheeran & Beele
Last price
21.1%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
41.1¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$243 (2.43x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Play This Song - Mariah Carey feat. Anderson .Paak
18.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
Play This Song - Mariah Carey feat. Anderson .Paak
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$703
Trade this on Polymarket
Fallin' - Chris Brown feat. Leon Thomas
16.5%
Polymarket 16.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fallin' - Chris Brown feat. Leon Thomas
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
What If Its Right? - Gracie Abrams & Marcus Mumford
15.3%
Polymarket 15.3%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 29.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $338 (3.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
What If Its Right? - Gracie Abrams & Marcus Mumford
Last price
15.3%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
29.6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$338 (3.38x)
Volume
$115
Trade this on Polymarket
Take Me Dancing (feat. SZA) - Doja Cat feat. SZA
10%
Polymarket 10%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Take Me Dancing (feat. SZA) - Doja Cat feat. SZA
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$33
Trade this on Polymarket
I Think You're Special - Justin Bieber & Tems
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
I Think You're Special - Justin Bieber & Tems
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Butterfly
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Butterfly
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 7 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
OPEN UP YOUR HEART - Justin Bieber & Eddie Benjamin
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
OPEN UP YOUR HEART - Justin Bieber & Eddie Benjamin
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
is it cool? - Steve Lacy feat. SZA
4.8%
Polymarket 4.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
is it cool? - Steve Lacy feat. SZA
Last price
4.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8.6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,163 (11.6x)
Volume
$298
Trade this on Polymarket
Beat A B!tch Up - Alemeda & Doechii
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Beat A B!tch Up - Alemeda & Doechii
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
6.7¢
Sell Yes
2.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,493 (14.9x)
Volume
$601
Trade this on Polymarket
Tie
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tie
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 7 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$101
Trade this on Kalshi
She Knows Too Much - Thundercat feat. Mac Miller
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
She Knows Too Much - Thundercat feat. Mac Miller
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Volume
$90
Trade this on Polymarket
Fire Away (feat. Slayyyter) - Madeon feat. Slayyyter
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fire Away (feat. Slayyyter) - Madeon feat. Slayyyter
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Jaded
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jaded
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 7 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Say So
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Say So
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 7 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Kalshi
If I Don't Leave I'm Gonna Stay
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
If I Don't Leave I'm Gonna Stay
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 7 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Butterfly Season
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Butterfly Season
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 7 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Bells & Whistles
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bells & Whistles
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 7 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
On My Way to Heaven
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
On My Way to Heaven
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 7 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Younger You
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Younger You
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 7 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Recording Academy

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Bring Your Love - Madonna & Sabrina Carpenter
  • Dracula (with JENNIE) - Tame Impala & JENNIE
  • Rein Me In (with Olivia Dean) - Sam Fender & Olivia Dean

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Bring Your Love - Madonna & Sabrina Carpenter for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Grammy Winner: Best Country Duo/Group Performance". Bring Your Love - Madonna & Sabrina Carpenter leads at 85%. Next is Dracula (with JENNIE) - Tame Impala & JENNIE at 83%. $10K has traded across 34 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 31, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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