The Prediction Markets

Grammys 2027: Best R&B Collaboration or Duo/Group Performance Winner

Closes
Feb 7, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$5K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
42 min ago
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What the markets expect

Sweet Nuthins - Kehlani feat. Leon Thomas 15.5%

Next is Fallin' at 11%. The venues differ most on is it cool? - Steve Lacy feat. SZA (Polymarket 4.7%, Kalshi 1%), a 3.7-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 45 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Sweet Nuthins - Kehlani feat. Leon Thomas
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 45 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sweet Nuthins - Kehlani feat. Leon Thomas
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled 45 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Polymarket
Fallin'
11%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 45 min agoKalshi 10.5%polled, 42 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fallin' - Chris Brown feat. Leon Thomas
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 45 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$47
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Fallin'
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled 42 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 45 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 11¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 15¢.

Play This Song
9.5%
Polymarket 11%polled, 45 min agoKalshi 8%polled, 42 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Play This Song - Mariah Carey feat. Anderson .Paak
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 45 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$703
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Play This Song
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 42 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 45 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 10¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 11¢.

I Think You're Special - Justin Bieber & Tems
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 45 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
I Think You're Special - Justin Bieber & Tems
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 45 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
To Be Honest
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 42 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
To Be Honest
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 42 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
is it cool? - Steve Lacy feat. SZA
3.5%
Polymarket 4.7%polled, 45 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 42 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
is it cool? - Steve Lacy feat. SZA
Last price
4.7%
As of
Polled 45 min ago
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
4.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$120
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Is It Cool?:: Steve Lacy feat. SZA
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 42 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$55
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 45 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 4¢ and selling on Polymarket at 4.1¢ nets 10 bps before fees.

She Knows Too Much
3.5%
Polymarket 4.9%polled, 45 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 42 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
She Knows Too Much - Thundercat feat. Mac Miller
Last price
4.9%
As of
Polled 45 min ago
Buy Yes
7.4¢
Sell Yes
2.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,351 (13.5x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
She Knows Too Much
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 42 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 45 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2.4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

Tie
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 42 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tie
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 42 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Don't Break Her Heart
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 42 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Don't Break Her Heart
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 42 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Fear (Hey Friend)
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 42 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fear (Hey Friend)
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 42 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 3 more outcomes
Goodbye Henry
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 42 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Goodbye Henry
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 42 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
MORNING DEW (DONK) REMIX
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 42 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
MORNING DEW (DONK) REMIX
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 42 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Shoulda Never
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 42 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shoulda Never
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 42 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Indicative gap, prices are 45 min old: is it cool? - Steve Lacy feat. SZA asks 4¢ on Kalshi and bids 4.1¢ on Polymarket (10 bps). Recheck both venues before trading. See all spreads

Mostly the same bet: 3 differences

Where they differ

  • Both settle on the official ceremony result or nominations announcement for the same edition.
  • Kalshi lists a 'Tie' outcome and resolves ties per its rules; Polymarket resolves ties per its own description. Nominee lists differ; only names on both venues are linked.
  • Trading closes at different times: Feb 7, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 31, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Recording Academy
Show full rule comparison
  • Both settle on the official ceremony result or nominations announcement for the same edition.
  • Kalshi lists a 'Tie' outcome and resolves ties per its rules; Polymarket resolves ties per its own description. Nominee lists differ; only names on both venues are linked.
  • Trading closes Feb 7, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 31, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Sweet Nuthins - Kehlani feat. Leon Thomas
  • Fallin'
  • Play This Song

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Sweet Nuthins - Kehlani feat. Leon Thomas for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Grammys 2027: Best R&B Collaboration or Duo/Group Performance Winner". Sweet Nuthins - Kehlani feat. Leon Thomas leads at 15.5%. Next is Fallin' at 11%. $5K has traded across 13 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 7, 2027.

The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed performance that wins Best R&B Collaboration or Duo/Group Performance at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards. If a performance is not officially nominated for Best R&B Collaboration or Duo/Group Performance when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated performance whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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Grammys 2027: Best R&B Collaboration or Duo/Group Performance Winner Odds, Platforms, and Market Data | The Prediction Markets