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Yes 26.5%
Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 27 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

The leading outcome on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
Each venue’s resting orders for the Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
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Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
Live prediction market odds for "Jensen Huang rejoins NVIDIA before divorce?". Yes leads at 26.5%. $7K has traded across 1 outcome on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2028.
On November 12, 2026, NVIDIA announced that Jensen Huang had resigned as its President, Chief Executive Officer, and a member of its Board of Directors, effective immediately. This market will resolve to “Yes” if, after market creation, Jensen Huang is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of NVIDIA before Jensen or Lori Huang file for divorce or announce their definitive intention to divorce. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If neither a qualifying announcement of Jensen Huang rejoining NVIDIA nor a qualifying divorce filing or announcement occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at NVIDIA, including on an interim or acting basis and membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of NVIDIA will also qualify. Merely holding or trading NVIDIA shares, voting as a shareholder, entering into a commercial or research partnership with NVIDIA, informally advising, appearing at NVIDIA events, or receiving an honorary or emeritus title will not qualify unless Jensen Huang also accepts or begins a formal role within NVIDIA’s corporate or governance structure. An official announcement that Jensen Huang has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role. Once a qualifying announcement of Jensen Huang rejoining NVIDIA is made before a qualifying divorce filing or announcement, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether he later leaves the role. If a qualifying divorce filing or announcement occurs before a qualifying announcement of Jensen Huang rejoining NVIDIA is made, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for whether Jensen Huang has rejoined NVIDIA will be official information from NVIDIA (including its filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission) or Jensen Huang; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. A qualifying divorce filing or announcement occurs if Jensen or Lori Huang file for divorce or announce their definitive intention to divorce after market creation. An announcement from either Lori or Jensen Huang, or their official authorized representatives, of their definitive intention to divorce will be sufficient, regardless of when or whether the divorce ultimately occurs. Announcements that they are considering or open to a divorce will not qualify. The resolution sources for whether a qualifying divorce filing or announcement has occurred will be statements from Jensen Huang and/or Lori Huang, and their representatives, as well as relevant court records; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.