The Prediction Markets

Justin Bieber: Highest daily view count (October 5, 2026 - October 11, 2026)

Closed
Oct 13, 2026
Traded
$16K
Venues
Kalshi
Share

This market has closed

Trading ended on Oct 13, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 15 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above 14M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 378 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 14.25M
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.25M
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
96¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 14.5M
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.5M
Last price
94%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 14.75M
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.75M
Last price
84%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 15M
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15M
Last price
77%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$206
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 15.25M
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15.25M
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$19
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 15.5M
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15.5M
Last price
37%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$470
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 15.75M
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15.75M
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 16.25M
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 16.25M
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$471
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 16.5M
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 16.5M
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$907
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 3 more outcomes
Above 16.75M
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 16.75M
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$508
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 16M
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 16M
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 17M
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 17M
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$467
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: YouTube Charts

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 14M
  • Above 14.25M
  • Above 14.5M

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Justin Bieber: Highest daily view count (October 5, 2026 - October 11, 2026)". Above 14M last traded at 99%. Next is Above 14.25M at 97%. $16K has traded across 13 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Oct 13, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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